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Community => Politics and Government => Topic started by: Askold on February 28, 2014, 06:56:15 am

Title: Things just got real in Ukraine
Post by: Askold on February 28, 2014, 06:56:15 am
http://www.itv.com/news/update/2014-02-28/ukraine-minister-russias-control-of-airports-is-armed-invasion/
http://www.itv.com/news/2014-02-28/group-of-military-helicopters-seen-flying-towards-crimean-seized-military-airport/
http://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-26379722


Unkown people with Russian accents, wearing Russian Uniforms (without tags or flag symbols) and armed with Russian guns have taken over two airports and some goverment buildings in Ukraine. Meanwhile 11 Russian military helicopters have been seen in Ukraine heading towards one of those airports.

I'm suprised that no guns have been fired yet (at least I haven't heard such reports) maybe Ukrainian goverment is too afraid to resist? I mean, if this turns into a war they are outgunned. Or maybe the internal strife is making them hesitate, after all the eastern parts of Ukraine support Russia and want them to take over.
Title: Re: Things just got real in Ukraine
Post by: Ultimate Paragon on February 28, 2014, 08:48:00 am
Wonder how Putin's gonna try to spin this.
Title: Re: Things just got real in Ukraine
Post by: Kat S. on February 28, 2014, 09:24:29 am
I'm actually following a website from a woman from the Ukraine about the uprisings occurring in her country.  Yes, this is the same lady that gave us the "Motorcycle though the Chernobyl exclusion zone" story that was later proven to be false, but her commentary on the Orange Revolution in 2004 and the uprisings now seem to be commented straight.

Yes, it's the Slashdot legend, Elena Filatova (http://elenafilatova.com/).

Also, the ousted president of Ukraine has just resurfaced in a luxury hotel in Moscow claiming he is still the president of Ukraine.  Crimea is generally a pro-Russian territory of Ukraine, but it's still a part of Ukraine.
Title: Re: Things just got real in Ukraine
Post by: Askold on February 28, 2014, 11:33:43 am
Wonder how Putin's gonna try to spin this.

"Internal matter."

http://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-26386946

The Ukrainian deposed president is at Russia and refuses to accept being deposed. Instead he claims to be still the ruler of Ukraine and claims that the parliament is illegimate.

Well, it has been a few years since we had a war in europe anyway.
Title: Re: Things just got real in Ukraine
Post by: mellenORL on February 28, 2014, 11:55:48 am
I wish Putin would just be struck by lightning or swallowed up in a sinkhole. That would be "an act of God" I could get behind. Come to think of it, he should come visit Orlando! This is the lightning capital of the world, and we got sinkholes cropping up all the time.
Title: Re: Things just got real in Ukraine
Post by: Art Vandelay on February 28, 2014, 04:07:48 pm
It's Ukraine. It tends to cycle between independence and annexation by Russia. If anything, I'm surprised it didn't happen sooner.
Title: Re: Things just got real in Ukraine
Post by: Dakota Bob on February 28, 2014, 05:00:28 pm
Well, I'm sure this will all end well.
Title: Re: Things just got real in Ukraine
Post by: KZN02 on February 28, 2014, 05:03:39 pm
I'm reminded back to the Beijing Olympics when Russia pulled something similar off.
Title: Re: Things just got real in Ukraine
Post by: Old Viking on February 28, 2014, 06:02:45 pm
I believe that no geographical area should be without its own shit storm.
Title: Re: Things just got real in Ukraine
Post by: Lt. Fred on March 01, 2014, 12:40:00 am
You know what would be good now? US escalation.
Title: Re: Things just got real in Ukraine
Post by: Art Vandelay on March 01, 2014, 12:45:02 am
Yes, brilliant idea. Let's stick yet another dick in the beehive. What could possibly go wrong?
Title: Re: Things just got real in Ukraine
Post by: I am lizard on March 01, 2014, 12:59:46 am
Well, I'm sure this will all end well.

Days later most of humanity was turned into fleshy blobs preying on the survivors.
Title: Re: Things just got real in Ukraine
Post by: ironbite on March 01, 2014, 08:30:55 am
So Russia wins the Olympics through some fishy means and Putin thinks he can just annex the Ukraine?
Title: Re: Things just got real in Ukraine
Post by: RavynousHunter on March 01, 2014, 08:36:06 am
First, the Olympics...then, THE WORLD!
Title: Re: Things just got real in Ukraine
Post by: Askold on March 01, 2014, 09:21:33 am
The Duma has officially asked Putin to take control of the Ukraine situation and Putin is asking permission to use the Russian military to do so.

Which is probably just PR show since Russia already has a law that allows the president to use the military in situations like this. Which is what he did with the Georgia situation.
Title: Re: Things just got real in Ukraine
Post by: Kat S. on March 01, 2014, 09:26:23 am
Putin really reminds me of those silly people in the southern United States who talk about how "the South will rise again" and how the "North" is messing with the "South".  The Confederate States of America is dead and gone, and so is the Union of the Soviet Socialist Republic.  Putin, a former high ranking KGB officer, can't understand or outright refuses to acknowledge that Ukraine wants to be its own country instead of being directly tied with Russia.

Let. It. Go. Putin.
Title: Re: Things just got real in Ukraine
Post by: Random Gal on March 01, 2014, 10:42:59 am
I wish Putin would just be struck by lightning or swallowed up in a sinkhole. That would be "an act of God" I could get behind. Come to think of it, he should come visit Orlando! This is the lightning capital of the world, and we got sinkholes cropping up all the time.

If Putin does visit Orlando, make sure it's during Disney's Gay Days for maximum awkwardness.
Title: Re: Things just got real in Ukraine
Post by: Askold on March 01, 2014, 11:35:27 am
http://www.theguardian.com/world/2014/mar/01/crimea-crisis-deepens-as-russia-and-ukraine-ready-forces-live-updates?CMP=twt_gu

Armies have been mobilized, Russian tanks are moving through Ukraine, pro-Ukraine protestors are being rouded up and beaten. Still no declaration of war though, I guess Putin is still trying to stick to that "Russia or Soviet Union have never started a war" bit.
Title: Re: Things just got real in Ukraine
Post by: Dakota Bob on March 01, 2014, 12:24:40 pm
Cold War II: Electric Boogaloo
Title: Re: Things just got real in Ukraine
Post by: Ultimate Paragon on March 01, 2014, 01:01:31 pm
I really hope this doesn't end in another Holodomor.
Title: Re: Things just got real in Ukraine
Post by: Lt. Fred on March 01, 2014, 07:13:28 pm
I very much doubt that Russia intends any sort of annexation. We're probably looking at a Georgia situation - a short, sharp blow to remind the West that Russia retains some power and will not simply roll over and take Eastern Europe. Russia wants Ukraine to remain part of its sphere of influence, not to occupy it (at great cost). This is, in part, due to the entirely reasonable fear of growing US containment of Russia (also the unreasonable belief that Great Powers get to run other peoples' countries in their own interest).
Title: Re: Things just got real in Ukraine
Post by: Askold on March 02, 2014, 01:15:03 am
Well, the people in eastern parts of Ukraine want to be part of Russia and they have now been getting the Russian passports which are being mass produced for them.

And concidering that Russia has not one but two puppet rulers for Ukraine I don't think they are going through all this trouble just to pull back.
Title: Re: Things just got real in Ukraine
Post by: kefkaownsall on March 02, 2014, 01:29:57 am
I wonder if they'll just Balkanize into Ukraine and the Republic of Crimeia
Title: Re: Things just got real in Ukraine
Post by: Barbarella on March 02, 2014, 06:22:03 pm
I see a nation split coming on.....

Ukraine will probably turn into two countries.

I know this is an awful thing to say but I wish something happened to Putin soon. His megalomania is getting really annoying to say the least. He has a whistle-blower food-nuked, he wants to be Stalin 2.0, he looks like a cross between Frank Gorshin & Dobby The House Elf with no chin, he hates gays, he's a former KGB spook and.....he's just.....a total putz.

V-Poos gotta go!

Seems Russia and/or USSR is a huge reason why Eastern Europe isn't like Western Europe. C'MON, RUSKIES! JOIN THE 21st CENTURY! IT ISN'T THAT HARD, DAMN IT! *AAAARRRGGGLLLEEE*
Title: Re: Things just got real in Ukraine
Post by: Ultimate Paragon on March 02, 2014, 06:57:34 pm
First Lithuania, then Georgia, now Ukraine.  Is Putin trying to restart the Cold War or something?
Title: Re: Things just got real in Ukraine
Post by: The Illusive Man on March 02, 2014, 07:51:49 pm
There is an ugly economic and military angle here which can be summarized in three words: warm water port.

Hey guys remember that naval base in Sevastopol?
(https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/b/bd/Vladimir_Putin_in_Ukraine_28-29_July_2001-17.jpg)
*YOINK!*
Title: Re: Things just got real in Ukraine
Post by: Lt. Fred on March 02, 2014, 09:10:33 pm
Firstly, warm water ports don't matter anymore. Modern ships can sail through (or, more importantly, under) ice without too much trouble. Secondly, Russia has a warm water port! They already own Sevastapol! Why would they invade Ukraine to gain control of a port that they already control?
Title: Re: Things just got real in Ukraine
Post by: Ultimate Paragon on March 02, 2014, 09:12:44 pm
My guess is Putin wants to do the old "divide and conquer".
Title: Re: Things just got real in Ukraine
Post by: Art Vandelay on March 02, 2014, 09:20:49 pm
Firstly, warm water ports don't matter anymore. Modern ships can sail through (or, more importantly, under) ice without too much trouble.
Wait, what? I know icebreakers are a thing, but freighter submarines? Are those actually a thing outside of the military?
Title: Re: Things just got real in Ukraine
Post by: The Illusive Man on March 02, 2014, 09:29:10 pm
Firstly, warm water ports don't matter anymore. Modern ships can sail through (or, more importantly, under) ice without too much trouble. Secondly, Russia has a warm water port! They already own Sevastapol! Why would they invade Ukraine to gain control of a port that they already control?
Joint control =/= ownership. Military interest, it contains one of their naval basses for the Black Sea Fleet. They are encroaching on NATO territory, they did this with Georgia before. Economic pressure would no longer be needed as well, see the 2010 Kharkiv Pact.
Title: Re: Things just got real in Ukraine
Post by: dpareja on March 02, 2014, 09:32:37 pm
Firstly, warm water ports don't matter anymore. Modern ships can sail through (or, more importantly, under) ice without too much trouble. Secondly, Russia has a warm water port! They already own Sevastapol! Why would they invade Ukraine to gain control of a port that they already control?

Sevastopol is part of Ukraine, even though part of Russia's fleet is stationed there. Russia's only port that's ice-free all year round is in the Kaliningrad Oblast.
Title: Re: Things just got real in Ukraine
Post by: Random Gal on March 02, 2014, 09:44:38 pm
So are we already in Cold War II, or is it just around the corner?

Firstly, warm water ports don't matter anymore. Modern ships can sail through (or, more importantly, under) ice without too much trouble. Secondly, Russia has a warm water port! They already own Sevastapol! Why would they invade Ukraine to gain control of a port that they already control?

Sevastopol is part of Ukraine, even though part of Russia's fleet is stationed there. Russia's only port that's ice-free all year round is in the Kaliningrad Oblast.

There's also Vladivostok, but that's on the far side of the country.
Title: Re: Things just got real in Ukraine
Post by: Lt. Fred on March 02, 2014, 09:49:31 pm
Firstly, warm water ports don't matter anymore. Modern ships can sail through (or, more importantly, under) ice without too much trouble.
Wait, what? I know icebreakers are a thing, but freighter submarines? Are those actually a thing outside of the military?

No. You're not going to see civilian submarines used.

Firstly, warm water ports don't matter anymore. Modern ships can sail through (or, more importantly, under) ice without too much trouble. Secondly, Russia has a warm water port! They already own Sevastapol! Why would they invade Ukraine to gain control of a port that they already control?
Joint control =/= ownership. Military interest, it contains one of their naval basses for the Black Sea Fleet. They are encroaching on NATO territory, they did this with Georgia before. Economic pressure would no longer be needed as well, see the 2010 Kharkiv Pact.

NATO is encroaching on Russian territory! Georgia and in particular Ukraine have always been part of Russia's sphere of influence, even during the Civil War. The revisionists here are NATO, not Russia. I'm not saying they're wrong, or that they're aggressive, but it's a bit unreasonable to blame the Russians for wanting to maintain the status quo.

Frankly, if the Ukrainians want to be part of Europe, they should be let part of the EU. Any step beyond that, particularly NATO membership, would be very dangerous.
Title: Re: Things just got real in Ukraine
Post by: Art Vandelay on March 03, 2014, 12:33:11 am
Firstly, warm water ports don't matter anymore. Modern ships can sail through (or, more importantly, under) ice without too much trouble.
Wait, what? I know icebreakers are a thing, but freighter submarines? Are those actually a thing outside of the military?

No. You're not going to see civilian submarines used.
So you're saying that non-submarines can go "under" the ice? I'm pretty sure that's physically impossible (at least not if you ever intend to come back up).
Title: Re: Things just got real in Ukraine
Post by: Ultimate Paragon on March 03, 2014, 12:50:45 am
Relevant:

(http://i1.kym-cdn.com/photos/images/original/000/709/673/07e.gif)
Title: Re: Things just got real in Ukraine
Post by: Askold on March 03, 2014, 03:50:08 am
Firstly, warm water ports don't matter anymore. Modern ships can sail through (or, more importantly, under) ice without too much trouble. Secondly, Russia has a warm water port! They already own Sevastapol! Why would they invade Ukraine to gain control of a port that they already control?

They had a deal about the Sevastopol port for 20 years. The deal was made in 1997 so the time was running out.
( http://www.nytimes.com/1997/05/29/world/russia-and-ukraine-finally-reach-accord-on-black-sea-fleet.html )

Times had changed in those 17 years. The control that Russia had over the Ukrainian goverment disappeared when the rioters caused the president to flee to Russia. If things had calmed down then you can bet that Ukraine would have started moving politically away from Russia and in a few years they would have lost the port and any chances of getting a new deal would have been low.

Now they will are taking Crimea and even if they are unable to take the entire Ukraine they get to keep their port and strengthen their position in the region.

Also, had Russia waited to make a move, NATO, EU or UN might have moved into Ukraine to calm things down, by making the first move they stopped those attempts as no one seems to want to start a war with Russia.

EDIT: Russia is now having military excercises right next door to Finland... And their media has already had anti-Finnish propaganda...

...There are no actual threats against Finland yet, but I do not like where things are going. Someone already joked that few months from now, this will be concidered as the moment when you should have packed your stuff and run.
Title: Re: Things just got real in Ukraine
Post by: Meshakhad on March 03, 2014, 01:29:32 pm
And Simo Hayha died ten years ago, stripping Finland of its deterrent.
Title: Re: Things just got real in Ukraine
Post by: Canadian Mojo on March 03, 2014, 04:48:11 pm

EDIT: Russia is now having military excercises right next door to Finland... And their media has already had anti-Finnish propaganda...

So you're expecting to be accused of shelling a remote boarder outpost some time in the near future.  ;)

Title: Re: Things just got real in Ukraine
Post by: Kat S. on March 03, 2014, 06:59:28 pm
In Elena Filatova's (http://www.angelfire.com/extreme4/kiddofspeed/maydan/update.html) opinion, Crimea isn't worth it and is a financial burden to Ukraine.  She stated earlier that if Putin tries to move into mainland Ukraine, he will have bloodshed.  Elena keeps re-editing her posts, so some of her comments will disappear completely.

Meanwhile, the West is trying the diplomatic approach to stopping Russia's antics, but questions how truly effective it will be towards Russia's aggression.  Obama had another conversation with Russia.  Angela Merkel is getting annoyed with Putin and question "if he is in touch with reality" (http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/worldnews/europe/ukraine/10673235/Ukraine-crisis-Angry-Angela-Merkel-questions-whether-Putin-is-in-touch-with-reality.html).  The EU has to be unanimous in their decision on how to deal with Russia's show of force.
Title: Re: Things just got real in Ukraine
Post by: Askold on March 04, 2014, 12:41:55 am
Gazprom stocks and Russian currency are going down. Furthermore, with USA putting the pressure on Russia this might turn out to be very costly to Putin and Russia.

Not to mention that all the money spent on the olympics to gain goodwill went to waste. (Some people already disliked russia due to their treatment of LGBT minorities and the olympics didn't change that, while the people who liked the olympics and Russia's poor treatment of minorities are likely to not like the invasion of Ukraine.)
Title: Re: Things just got real in Ukraine
Post by: The Illusive Man on March 04, 2014, 12:48:20 am
Meanwhile, the West is trying the diplomatic approach to stopping Russia's antics, but questions how truly effective it will be towards Russia's aggression.  Obama had another conversation with Russia.  Angela Merkel is getting annoyed with Putin and question "if he is in touch with reality".  The EU has to be unanimous in their decision on how to deal with Russia's show of force.
LULZ, leverage against Merkel to place leverage against Putin, grab some popcorn kiddies this is going to be a ffffuuuuunnnn ride.
Title: Re: Things just got real in Ukraine
Post by: Cerim Treascair on March 04, 2014, 02:15:11 am
As I've heard around, they've lost about 60 BILLION due to the Russian ruble falling so damn hard... and 70% of Russians and a VERY large chunk of the military don't approve of what Putin's doing...

Yeah, this is pretty much the global equivalent of shooting yourself in the head if Putin keeps it up.  The Russian military hardware is laughable, they're losing millions by the day... there's even theories that the Ukraine could take on Russia and win with the right circumstances about now.
Title: Re: Things just got real in Ukraine
Post by: Askold on March 04, 2014, 07:16:25 am
Putin is holding a speech.

He has already claimed that there are no Russian troops in Crimea and that the takeover over there is being done by local volunteers... He also complained about the unlawful revolution in Ukraine.

I need to find a video about this speech as I am certain that his pants are about to spontaneously combust any second.

And all those "No Russian" jokes I've been hearing in the last few days...
Title: Re: Things just got real in Ukraine
Post by: RavynousHunter on March 04, 2014, 09:31:25 am
"Unlawful revolution."  ...That's a tad redundant, don't ya think?  If it isn't, I want to see the revolt that is lawful under the country's own laws.  I think unlawfulness is kind of a big part of the whole revolt thing.
Title: Re: Things just got real in Ukraine
Post by: Askold on March 04, 2014, 09:48:02 am
"Unlawful revolution."  ...That's a tad redundant, don't ya think?  If it isn't, I want to see the revolt that is lawful under the country's own laws.  I think unlawfulness is kind of a big part of the whole revolt thing.

Actually, that is just me making a bad translation, what he said was that he believes Yakunovich being overthrown was done by illegal mean. He is technically correct about that (the best kind of correct.) Still, he is complaining about one group overthrowing the president while his goons have overthrown the local goverment in Crimea.
Title: Re: Things just got real in Ukraine
Post by: Kat S. on March 04, 2014, 10:23:11 am
Putin is blaming the west, most notably the U.S., for the uprising in Ukraine.  He's claiming that somehow we are supporting the protesters and their overthrow of Yanukovych, while the "intervention" in Crimea is to protect the Russian citizens that live there and a response to the request for help by Yanukovych.

For Putin, he may have very well put himself in a lose-lose situation.  He isn't going to get Ukraine to warmly embrace with Russia because of the history of Russia-Ukraine interaction, and this latest show of aggression isn't going to help matters either.  Polls conducted in Russia show people don't favor what he's doing (although I'm aware of polls that state opposite).  The economy isn't fairing too well, and people may see this Crimea "intervention" as a distracting issue to domestic problems in Russia.  In spite of trying to show "goodwill" in the Winter Olympics in Sochi, this action has really wrecked whatever goodwill that was trying to be built.  Lastly, since Putin has now placed Russian military forces in and around Crimea, he has to stay committed to his decision to sending them there.  An abrupt withdraw of those troops will not give the image and message that Putin wants to send to Ukraine and the rest of the world.
Title: Re: Things just got real in Ukraine
Post by: RavynousHunter on March 04, 2014, 10:36:15 am
That message being: "I AM REAL MAN, I LIKE THE PUSSY, I SWEAR IT!"
Title: Re: Things just got real in Ukraine
Post by: Kat S. on March 04, 2014, 10:52:37 am
That message being: "I AM REAL MAN, I LIKE THE PUSSY, I SWEAR IT!"

Well, with all those photos he constantly releases to the press, I would agree he's really overcompensating for something...
Title: Re: Things just got real in Ukraine
Post by: Meshakhad on March 04, 2014, 11:02:00 am
At this point, the best-case scenario would be for Crimea to secede, whether uniting with Russia or becoming an independent nation. Since the bulk of the Crimean population seems to be in favor of joining Russia, I'd be OK with this, and I imagine the EU might... if that is ALL Putin gets. At minimum, he would have to recognize the new government in Kiev, if not actually turn over Yanukovych.

I don't see the EU (or America) allowing Putin to overrun the Ukraine. We're already bringing out the big guns diplomatically - kicking Russia out of the G8 is pretty severe. I fear that if Putin goes any further, there will be bloodshed. At minimum, there will be fighting between Russian and Ukrainian troops. Frankly, if it does, I think we should abandon diplomacy and go straight for the military option.
Title: Re: Things just got real in Ukraine
Post by: Askold on March 04, 2014, 11:24:12 am
But that scenario would still mean that Russia gets to keep Sevastopol. Which is the presumably the main reason they got in this trainwreck.
Title: Re: Things just got real in Ukraine
Post by: gyeonghwa on March 04, 2014, 11:49:54 am
I wonder if the Crimea does join the Federation, would Russia's influence on the rest of Eastern Europe be weaken since they'd be seen as aggressors? Or would they be scared of what Russia did with Ukraine and become closer with the Kremlin.
Title: Re: Things just got real in Ukraine
Post by: Kat S. on March 04, 2014, 12:24:07 pm
I wonder if the Crimea does join the Federation, would Russia's influence on the rest of Eastern Europe be weaken since they'd be seen as aggressors? Or would they be scared of what Russia did with Ukraine and become closer with the Kremlin.

Russia has essentially bullied Ukraine into not joining the EU or NATO around 2004-2005 by threatening to cut off gas supplies to them, and Russia is doing it again now because of the uprising.  Russia does have some pull in the European and Asian economy.  The Orange Revolution in Ukraine back in 2004 should have been a signal to Putin that Ukraine is going by the beat of their own drum. 

Sadly, Putin wants to hold on to his sphere of influence with the post Soviet territories.  Most CIS nations work with and are neutral to Russia, Kazakhstan is still warm and friendly to Russia, and communist Belarus is still attached to Russia in practically everything, but gosh darn that Ukraine and them wanting to do their own thing. Putin probably thought he finally had Ukraine in his sphere when Yanukovych rejected entering the EU and made an agreement to have closer ties to Russia until, of course, the pro-EU Ukrainians raised a stink over it.
Title: Re: Things just got real in Ukraine
Post by: Ultimate Paragon on March 04, 2014, 12:25:53 pm
If I were Putin, I'd cut my losses and try to increase Russian power some other way.
Title: Re: Things just got real in Ukraine
Post by: gyeonghwa on March 04, 2014, 12:30:39 pm
I see no point in having that pull over its neighboring nations if Russia current tantrum is tanking it's economy (as well as everyone else). CCTV was reporting how this plunged stocks the world over.
Title: Re: Things just got real in Ukraine
Post by: Meshakhad on March 04, 2014, 12:40:43 pm
But that scenario would still mean that Russia gets to keep Sevastopol. Which is the presumably the main reason they got in this trainwreck.

I'm OK with that. Provided that it is the will of the Crimean people. And that Putin recognized the new government in Kiev.
Title: Re: Things just got real in Ukraine
Post by: Ultimate Paragon on March 04, 2014, 12:42:29 pm
But that scenario would still mean that Russia gets to keep Sevastopol. Which is the presumably the main reason they got in this trainwreck.

I'm OK with that. Provided that it is the will of the Crimean people. And that Putin recognized the new government in Kiev.
Well, at this point, I just want Putin to fail.
Title: Re: Things just got real in Ukraine
Post by: Meshakhad on March 04, 2014, 05:42:24 pm
Frankly, I hope he does fail. In fact, I want him out of power.
Title: Re: Things just got real in Ukraine
Post by: Random Gal on March 04, 2014, 05:44:22 pm
Frankly, I hope he does fail. In fact, I want him out of power.

Yeah, Putin is well on his way to becoming Stalin 2.0.
Title: Re: Things just got real in Ukraine
Post by: RavynousHunter on March 04, 2014, 06:04:55 pm
Putin: Stalin without the epic mustache or actual manly looks.

What?  I think Stalin looks more like a man than Putin does...Putin looks like he could be in a late 90's boy band.
Title: Re: Things just got real in Ukraine
Post by: Ultimate Paragon on March 04, 2014, 06:06:24 pm
Putin: Stalin without the epic mustache or actual manly looks.

What?  I think Stalin looks more like a man than Putin does...Putin looks like he could be in a late 90's boy band.
Emphasis on "boy".  Putin's considerably shorter than most people assume.
Title: Re: Things just got real in Ukraine
Post by: RavynousHunter on March 04, 2014, 06:08:27 pm
Aaaaah, Napoleon Complex.  Now, it begins to make sense.
Title: Re: Things just got real in Ukraine
Post by: Kat S. on March 04, 2014, 07:33:41 pm
Reports out there state that Putin is only 5'5"(1.65 m), although other reports out there state he is 5'7"(1.70 m) which I wouldn't be surprised were from Putin himself.

In comparison: Barack Obama is 6'1"(1.85 m), Bill Clinton is 6'2"(1.88 m), Viktor Yanukovych is 6'4"(1.93 m), and most of the male world leaders are taller than him, but hey, at least Dmitry Medvedev is 5'4"(1.62 m).

I guess now I know what he is overcompensating for...
Title: Re: Things just got real in Ukraine
Post by: Barbarella on March 04, 2014, 07:49:40 pm
Really short, looks like a hybrid of Frank Gorshin & Dobby. THAT EXPLAINS EVERYTHING!

(http://i57.tinypic.com/2vx5ac1.jpg) + (http://i61.tinypic.com/2k58yd.jpg) = (http://i59.tinypic.com/auwev.jpg)
(L to R: Dobby, Gorshie, Putie)

And his surname sounds like....
(http://i58.tinypic.com/2yjzezc.jpg)

IMAGINE.......THE COMPLEXES.......... :P

And Gorshin played The RIDDLER. Is V-Poo trying to top him in super-villainy? Riddle me this, Batman!

(Dobby The House Elf also resembles a mix of Jamie Farr & Mohandas Gandhi. Poor sweet little Dobby doesn't deserve any of this.)
Title: Re: Things just got real in Ukraine
Post by: Dakota Bob on March 04, 2014, 08:02:39 pm
Maybe he's upset the Russian hockey team got the shit slipped out of them in the Olympics?

never 4get the happening (http://imgur.com/GKhjSto)

But seriously, I'm starting to get real uncomfortable about this shit. now Russia tested an ICBM? Putin can't go away quickly enough.
Title: Re: Things just got real in Ukraine
Post by: lord gibbon on March 04, 2014, 08:04:35 pm
Aaaaah, Napoleon Complex.  Now, it begins to make sense.

Amusingly, he's shorter than the actual Napoleon, who was approximately 5'9.
Title: Re: Things just got real in Ukraine
Post by: MadCatTLX on March 04, 2014, 08:15:26 pm
Maybe he's upset the Russian hockey team got the shit slipped out of them in the Olympics?

never 4get the happening (http://imgur.com/GKhjSto)

But seriously, I'm starting to get real uncomfortable about this shit. now Russia tested an ICBM? Putin can't go away quickly enough.

Why are they testing a missile? Got a link to the source you found this from?
Title: Re: Things just got real in Ukraine
Post by: Dakota Bob on March 04, 2014, 08:16:48 pm
yeah here

http://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-26442381 (http://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-26442381)
Title: Re: Things just got real in Ukraine
Post by: Cerim Treascair on March 04, 2014, 08:34:29 pm
Shit, I'm Putin's height (5'6") and I don't have delusions of world domination! Dude's got issues...
Title: Re: Things just got real in Ukraine
Post by: Radiation on March 04, 2014, 08:34:47 pm
There are times I'm glad I don't have a TV, then there are times that I wish I had one. This is one of those times I wish I had one.

Stupid question to throw out there: From my understanding it seems that Russia wants to take over Ukraine? Is there even a remote possibility that this could throw us into World War III. Because if it does; it ain't going to be pretty.
Title: Re: Things just got real in Ukraine
Post by: Cerim Treascair on March 04, 2014, 08:51:37 pm
There are times I'm glad I don't have a TV, then there are times that I wish I had one. This is one of those times I wish I had one.

Stupid question to throw out there: From my understanding it seems that Russia wants to take over Ukraine? Is there even a remote possibility that this could throw us into World War III. Because if it does; it ain't going to be pretty.

Only over oil.  Putin really wants to reform the USSR.  It was why he pulled this shit with Georgia in '09, and now with the Ukraine.  Unfortunately for Russia, their military hardware is so out of date that it wouldn't take very long at all to really wreck his shit if it came to that.  A couple missiles fired at strategic points in Moscow (say, the Kremlin) and Putin would either be up against the wall getting shot by his own countrymen, or there'd be a military coup because a sizeable chunk of them are just as pissed off about this and they're wondering what the fuck he's doing.
Title: Re: Things just got real in Ukraine
Post by: RavynousHunter on March 04, 2014, 09:20:43 pm
Course, if I remember correctly, he's got Yamantau, which is at least as secure as Cheyenne Mountain, if not moreso, so he could keep his command structure and maybe some communicative ability if all hell broke loose.  Then again, so would we, and I highly doubt his idiotic, posturing antics have earned him any friends in the international community.  Other than Kim Jong-Un, maybe, but that motherfucker's insane, so we don't count him.
Title: Re: Things just got real in Ukraine
Post by: ironbite on March 04, 2014, 09:30:11 pm
Wonder if he's got his own Stargate in there like they do in Cheyenne?

Ironbite-he could gate to the Alpha Site!
Title: Re: Things just got real in Ukraine
Post by: Kat S. on March 04, 2014, 10:01:47 pm
Meanwhile in Kiev(Kyiv), John Kerry has visited the capital to lend support to the new interim government.  He also stated that the U.S. was going to give 1 billion USD in aid to Ukraine.

Mrs. Filatova has made another post with a rather disturbing image of a decapitated body on a stretcher being carried away by policemen. I understand that she wants to document the sheer brutality that is occurring in Kiev and to show proof that she isn't making s**t up like with the Chernobyl story. Just that geez, how about a warning about the picture, Elena? 

She states in the post that around February 18th, people working alongside the police were scalping and beheading protestors.  She feels sure that the people responsible are not her fellow countrymen/women, and that war between Ukraine and Russia is imminent.  She also believes that Putin is insane.

She hasn't mentioned anything about John Kerry visiting Kiev yet.
Title: Re: Things just got real in Ukraine
Post by: Askold on March 05, 2014, 02:31:41 am
BREAKING NEWS: All of this ruckus is Obama's fault because...

(http://24.media.tumblr.com/8515ef740f3091de9b41d31450dfeb56/tumblr_n1xmnjsmiW1qz9bu3o1_500.png)
http://talkingpointsmemo.com/livewire/lindsey-graham-ukraine-benghazi

...Apparently everything that happens in the world must somehow relate to USA. And if possible it must be Obama's fault.

In related news: "Falling from your chair due to laugher may cause pain, injuries."
Title: Re: Things just got real in Ukraine
Post by: Art Vandelay on March 05, 2014, 02:38:21 am
In related news: "Falling from your chair due to laugher may cause pain, injuries."
Ugh. Thanks, Obama.
Title: Re: Things just got real in Ukraine
Post by: RavynousHunter on March 05, 2014, 08:48:07 am
Wonder if he's got his own Stargate in there like they do in Cheyenne?

Ironbite-he could gate to the Alpha Site!

Nope.  Unless I'm mistaken, the only other one is in Antarctica, and they never moved it, so we're safe from having Putin dial into Cheyenne to be a complete ponce, or save himself from a horde of pissed off Russian revolutionaries.  I wonder what it is about Russia that seems to make it a lightning rod for revolts...perhaps Lenin had a more lasting impact than was originally suspected.
Title: Re: Things just got real in Ukraine
Post by: Dakota Bob on March 05, 2014, 08:58:56 am
Didn't they send one Stargate into a sun to cause a supernova, then bring the other one into Cheyenne mountain?
Title: Re: Things just got real in Ukraine
Post by: RavynousHunter on March 05, 2014, 09:12:50 am
Didn't they send one Stargate into a sun to cause a supernova, then bring the other one into Cheyenne mountain?

I dunno, but I do know Sam Carter did once blow up a sun...just not how she went about doing it.
Title: Re: Things just got real in Ukraine
Post by: ironbite on March 05, 2014, 11:18:42 am
.....my jaw is...on the floor.

Ironbite-just.....the fuck?
Title: Re: Things just got real in Ukraine
Post by: dpareja on March 05, 2014, 12:14:50 pm
Didn't they send one Stargate into a sun to cause a supernova, then bring the other one into Cheyenne mountain?

No, Anubis was using a device that would cause an overload in the Antarctic Gate (which had been moved to Cheyenne Mountain after the Egypt Gate was presumed lost) and so they sent it through a hyperspace tunnel to a safe distance from Earth before it exploded. The Russians, meanwhile, had recovered the Egypt Gate and attempted to run their own program, but eventually rented it to the Americans for a few years until the Americans bought it outright.

The Gate that Carter used to cause a sun to go supernova (by linking it to a Gate on a planet being sucked into a black hole) was another Gate entirely.
Title: Re: Things just got real in Ukraine
Post by: Dakota Bob on March 05, 2014, 02:52:12 pm
Ah, right. really need to get around to re-watching the series, it's been a while
Title: Re: Things just got real in Ukraine
Post by: I am lizard on March 05, 2014, 02:55:15 pm
So, what you guys are saying is that we teleport a nuke in front of Putin's face?
Title: Re: Things just got real in Ukraine
Post by: Dakota Bob on March 05, 2014, 03:07:15 pm
So, what you guys are saying is that we teleport a nuke in front of Putin's face?

Basically, yes.
Title: Re: Things just got real in Ukraine
Post by: Kat S. on March 05, 2014, 06:46:20 pm
Not that I want to see more that discord and disruption in the world, I just would like to see an uprising in Russia.  I really don't believe that Putin is fooling anyone like he thinks he is.
Title: Re: Things just got real in Ukraine
Post by: Ultimate Paragon on March 07, 2014, 01:26:40 am
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=55izx6rbCqg
Title: Re: Things just got real in Ukraine
Post by: Art Vandelay on March 07, 2014, 01:32:17 am
I didn't even know Russia Today operated in the US.
Title: Re: Things just got real in Ukraine
Post by: Canadian Mojo on March 07, 2014, 11:38:28 am
I didn't even know Russia Today operated in the US.

Yes, sadly it's sort of notorious as a pro-Putin, pro-conspiracy crank mouthpiece.
Every once and a while it makes for kind of a fun read actually.
Title: Re: Things just got real in Ukraine
Post by: Askold on March 08, 2014, 08:12:24 am
You guys were talking about escalating things the Stargåte way?

Finland is already a step ahead of you:

Meet our new commander of Finnish Defense Forces, Jack O'Neill
(http://1ertvb136xj1277r411b8hw78wp.wpengine.netdna-cdn.com/wp-content/uploads/2014/03/johtaja.jpg)
Though he seems to be operating under the name of Jarmo Lindberg at the moment. No word on wether this means the US military is infiltrating our forces or if he was previously infiltrating the US military.
Title: Re: Things just got real in Ukraine
Post by: Dakota Bob on March 08, 2014, 09:00:44 am
Oh shit, we've got O'Neill/MacGyver?

Better watch the fuck out, world!
Title: Re: Things just got real in Ukraine
Post by: Lt. Fred on March 09, 2014, 12:47:15 am
Aaaaah, Napoleon Complex.  Now, it begins to make sense.

Amusingly, he's shorter than the actual Napoleon, who was approximately 5'9.

Though considered short during his lifetime by his friends.
Title: Re: Things just got real in Ukraine
Post by: Askold on March 09, 2014, 03:38:17 am
Aaaaah, Napoleon Complex.  Now, it begins to make sense.

Amusingly, he's shorter than the actual Napoleon, who was approximately 5'9.

Though considered short during his lifetime by his friends.

He was called the "le petit caporal" The little corporal as a nickname. The "little" in this case was not meant to be taken literally and was a form of endearment. Somehow this got lost in translation or purposefully misinterpreted as a propaganda tool.
Title: Re: Things just got real in Ukraine
Post by: lord gibbon on March 09, 2014, 04:12:17 am
Aaaaah, Napoleon Complex.  Now, it begins to make sense.

Amusingly, he's shorter than the actual Napoleon, who was approximately 5'9.

Though considered short during his lifetime by his friends.

He was called the "le petit caporal" The little corporal as a nickname. The "little" in this case was not meant to be taken literally and was a form of endearment. Somehow this got lost in translation or purposefully misinterpreted as a propaganda tool.

It was great propaganda for the British. After all, it's much easier to ridicule your conquering enemy if people think he's tiny.
Title: Re: Things just got real in Ukraine
Post by: Lt. Fred on March 09, 2014, 04:33:10 am
Aaaaah, Napoleon Complex.  Now, it begins to make sense.

Amusingly, he's shorter than the actual Napoleon, who was approximately 5'9.

Though considered short during his lifetime by his friends.

He was called the "le petit caporal" The little corporal as a nickname. The "little" in this case was not meant to be taken literally and was a form of endearment. Somehow this got lost in translation or purposefully misinterpreted as a propaganda tool.

From what I have read, his own generals also made fun of him. It was not just the British.
Title: Re: Things just got real in Ukraine
Post by: Canadian Mojo on March 09, 2014, 09:36:21 am
From what I have read, his own generals also made fun of him. It was not just the British.
Hey, if everyone else is doing it...
Title: Re: Things just got real in Ukraine
Post by: Askold on March 11, 2014, 04:10:27 pm
Krimeans are about to vote wether to join Russia or to join Russia.

Really. The alternatives in the vote are "Join Russia" or "Return to the constitution of 1992" which basically means that their goverment makes the choise of which country they should join (independence is not a choice) Russia or Ukraine. Also, those two are the only alternatives. You can't vote NO to both and if you don't choose either of them then the note is not concidered valid and they only count the majority of votes given and wether they get 100% of voters or just one guy who votes it does not matter so boycotting has no effect.

(http://img.yle.fi/uutiset/ukraina/article7131732.ece/ALTERNATES/w580/LKS+20140311+sevastopol+vaalit+krim.jpg)
They are really going with the theme of "fight against fascism."

In lighter news: Johan Bäckmänn of Finland (known for his hardon for Russia and immense hatred of Finland as well as making anti-Finnish propaganda) was asked by Russia to come as a neutral observer to see that the elections are fair...
Title: Re: Things just got real in Ukraine
Post by: RavynousHunter on March 11, 2014, 07:11:19 pm
Well, if its as you said, and their only choices are "join Russia by choice" and "join Russia by force," then the comparison to...a certain fascist dictatorship is actually quite accurate, and not just pointless hyperbole.  Personally, I'd say the people of Crimea should pack up and go somewhere else, burning everything and salting the earth as they leave.  Alas, people tend to be rather attached to where they've spent most of their lives, and where many generations of their forebears did much the same.

Just like Stalin, Putin doesn't seem like the kind who'd be happy until the entire world was dancing to his backwards tune.  Maybe the next revolt will be the one that works for longer than a few decades.
Title: Re: Things just got real in Ukraine
Post by: The Illusive Man on March 11, 2014, 09:10:31 pm
(http://s9.postimg.org/crlwioftn/Ukraine_World_of_Maidan.jpg) (http://postimg.org/image/crlwioftn/)

(http://s17.postimg.org/esm3evnbf/Ukrainian_Classes_02.jpg) (http://postimg.org/image/esm3evnbf/)
Title: Re: Things just got real in Ukraine
Post by: Art Vandelay on March 11, 2014, 09:15:04 pm
Resize your damn images, Illusive.
Title: Re: Things just got real in Ukraine
Post by: Kat S. on March 14, 2014, 01:51:50 am
Here's another update from Elena (http://www.angelfire.com/extreme4/kiddofspeed/maydan/updatemarch14.html).  Right now Russian troops are building up forces in pockets that border Ukraine. 

I can imagine Putin actually giving the green light to go into mainland Ukraine, Russian troops getting their butts kicked and retreating, and then finally Putin trying to say that this has just been one big misunderstanding.
Title: Re: Things just got real in Ukraine
Post by: Lt. Fred on March 14, 2014, 02:18:43 am
How long would it take for the Russian military to totally destroy the entire Ukrainian Army? Twenty minutes? A couple of hours at the most.
Title: Re: Things just got real in Ukraine
Post by: Kat S. on March 14, 2014, 02:27:21 am
How long would it take for the Russian military to totally destroy the entire Ukrainian Army? Twenty minutes? A couple of hours at the most.

Probably so, but I'm sure the rest of Europe and the United States isn't going to let Putin take over and have Ukraine.  If they have paid attention to history, I'm sure they will intervene with military force.
Title: Re: Things just got real in Ukraine
Post by: Askold on March 14, 2014, 02:28:33 am
How long would it take for the Russian military to totally destroy the entire Ukrainian Army? Twenty minutes? A couple of hours at the most.

...Apart from some of those tiny countries like Belgium I don't think that any attacker could destroy their military in hours.

Unless you mean using nukes of course.

But with conventional weapons only the Ukrainian military could hold out for several days at least. They are calling up their reserves so it will be approximataly a million soldiers if they get all of them equipped. And if they manage that they can hold out much longer still. That is not something to take lightly as they have pretty decent equipment.

The goverment might surrender sooner but I think you are doing disservice to their military.
Title: Re: Things just got real in Ukraine
Post by: Kat S. on March 14, 2014, 02:36:24 am
How long would it take for the Russian military to totally destroy the entire Ukrainian Army? Twenty minutes? A couple of hours at the most.

...Apart from some of those tiny countries like Belgium I don't think that any attacker could destroy their military in hours.

Unless you mean using nukes of course.

But with conventional weapons only the Ukrainian military could hold out for several days at least. They are calling up their reserves so it will be approximataly a million soldiers if they get all of them equipped. And if they manage that they can hold out much longer still. That is not something to take lightly as they have pretty decent equipment.

The goverment might surrender sooner but I think you are doing disservice to their military.

Hence my answer as "probably".  However, a full land invasion would get pushback from not only the Ukrainian military, but at least some other nations, especially those that border Ukraine and are not favorable to Russia's antics.  From what I understand, Poland has donated medical support as well as some limited military resources to help Ukraine.
Title: Re: Things just got real in Ukraine
Post by: Canadian Mojo on March 14, 2014, 04:03:54 am
I think that Putin is smart enough to realize that invading the rest of the Ukraine would cost way to much and fill far too many body bags to be worthwhile. In fact, it could conceivably be Russia's downfall since they really don't have the money to waste on another occupation... particularly since Europe and the U.S. actually gives a shit about this one and would retaliate economically.
Their primary function is to act as a deterrent to keep anybody from trying to reclaim the Crimea by force and Putin can keep his foothold in the Black Sea which is what he really wants.
Title: Re: Things just got real in Ukraine
Post by: Lt. Fred on March 14, 2014, 04:24:28 am
How long would it take for the Russian military to totally destroy the entire Ukrainian Army? Twenty minutes? A couple of hours at the most.

...Apart from some of those tiny countries like Belgium I don't think that any attacker could destroy their military in hours.

The Ukrainian Regular Army has about the same strength as a modest Russian Corps, about 60,000 men. Their equipment was quite good in the 1960s, and well into the 70s, particularly their armour. The T-64BM was a truly excellent tank in 1970. They could probably put up quite a creditable fight against the 4th Guards Kantemirovskaya Tank Division for a day or two, assuming the Ukrainians manage to concentrate in time.

Do the Ukrainians even have a Reserve Army? I wonder how long they'd take to mobilise - a week, maybe? If the Russians really decided to take their time, the Ukrainians might be able to raise a few hundred of them to defend the West of the country for an hour.

The Russian military is crap, but it's not that crap.
Title: Re: Things just got real in Ukraine
Post by: Askold on March 14, 2014, 05:02:01 am
THE UKRAINIAN MILITARY HAS 1000'000 SOLDIERS IN RESERVE!

This information is freely available on several websites including wikipedia.

http://www.morningstar.co.uk/uk/news/AN_1394546412759425100/ukraine-announces-partial-mobilisation-of-army-reserves.aspx

Oh look, they are ALREADY mobilising their reserves. The article does say that this is a partial mobilisation but you have to remember that getting hundreds of thousands troops equipped does take a lot of time and can not be made subtly.

And they have more than just T-64s, they also have 271 T-80s and a rather sizeable artillery force. Actually looking at their equipment list it does not look that bad, they've got some good anti-air and anti-tank weapons. I don't know that much about airplanes but those seem to be mostly Russian/Soviet (Did USSR put some safeties or backdoors for electronic countermeasures in case someone would try to use their stuff against them?)
Title: Re: Things just got real in Ukraine
Post by: Lt. Fred on March 14, 2014, 05:15:25 am
The useful tanks are all mothballed, for whatever reason (the best they have, the T80UK, is still out of date compared to the Russian stuff anyway). Both Ukrainian Armoured Brigades are mounted on T-64s of one variety or another. The Ukrainian air force has actually fairly good tech - SU-24s and Mig-29s - but it's tiny. They have about 40 jets or so.

Artillery is nice so long as the enemy doesn't move around too much. Their AT, particularly their ATGMs, are basically too old to be effective against a T-80 or T-90.

You are right about their air defence, though. Their SAM/AAA fleet is crazy good. They have Buks out the ass! The Russians ought to be very worried about air supremacy in case of any conflict, unless they go on a SEAD binge.


I'd be interested to see how long a corps of reservists with AKs could stop a determined tank division.
Title: Re: Things just got real in Ukraine
Post by: Askold on March 14, 2014, 05:30:57 am
"Reservists with AKs..."

How about reservists with BUKs and AT missiles and tanks?

You do realize that those reservists have been trained with the stuff that the Ukrainian military uses? They aren't just random dudes who get a uniform and a gun.
Title: Re: Things just got real in Ukraine
Post by: Lt. Fred on March 14, 2014, 06:52:54 am
Yeah, I'm still pretty skeptical about the effectiveness of reservists.
Title: Re: Things just got real in Ukraine
Post by: Kat S. on March 14, 2014, 09:32:25 am
With all this talk about the military, I wonder how the Ukrainian civilians would factor in and what kind of warfare they would fight on the Russian forces.  I'm sure not all of them would hide and let the military forces duke it out.
Title: Re: Things just got real in Ukraine
Post by: Askold on March 14, 2014, 10:23:28 am
In other news, even though in public the Russian goverment has been trying to gain the support of the Crimean Tatar minority the Tatars are not looking forward to being ruled by Russia.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DUOq8vpkZzY
http://www.theguardian.com/world/2014/mar/13/crimea-tatars-fear-worst-prepares-referendum

Their leader wants to boycott the soon coming vote to join Russia.

I also heard that when the Crimean goverment decided about the vote to join Russia their Tatar representatives were not allowed to take part in that vote. Some claim that the Tatars weren't notified of the vote, others claimed that there were actually armed men stopping them from entering the goverment building and interfering with democracy. (But I haven't found a decent news site to confirm that claim so take it with a ton of salt.)

EDIT: http://www.hrw.org/news/2014/03/13/dispatches-black-thursday-moscow

Russia is shutting down independent news agencies. This is very alarming.

It might be the next step in their preparations for an full war ...or just the logical progress in their path to totalitarian dictatorship. (Hint, they are pretty far already.)
Title: Re: Things just got real in Ukraine
Post by: Kat S. on March 15, 2014, 09:02:57 am
Everyone else is waiting for the Crimea election result.  The election isn't really going to matter anyway, because there is no option for Crimea to stay with Ukraine and keep Russian Forces out.  The two options on the ballot allow for Russian forces to stay in Crimea. 

From what I've been reading from news and blogs, the Tartars are not going to welcome Russian forces with arms wide open.  Does anyone see a potential powder keg, or is it media sensationalism?
Title: Re: Things just got real in Ukraine
Post by: Cerim Treascair on March 15, 2014, 08:09:55 pm
Watch Putin take the 'No, we're not joining Russia' vote result as the last straw and invading.

... Boy, I'm getting bloodthirsty, hoping that the Ukraine just turns it into a war of attrition and Russia loses so many men that it's not worth it inside of a week.
Title: Re: Things just got real in Ukraine
Post by: Art Vandelay on March 15, 2014, 11:06:38 pm
Watch Putin take the 'No, we're not joining Russia' vote result as the last straw and invading.
They don't have that option in the first place. The choices are either join Russia, or let the local, pro-Russian government decide. Either way, they're joining Russia.
Title: Re: Things just got real in Ukraine
Post by: Kat S. on March 16, 2014, 01:50:54 am
From Elena's posting (http://www.angelfire.com/extreme4/kiddofspeed/maydan/updatemarch15.html) to different (http://news.yahoo.com/ukraine-braces-crimea-breakaway-vote-043501185.html) news (http://www.washingtonpost.com/world/europe/tensions-mount-as-crimea-prepares-for-referendum/2014/03/15/a384c36a-ac40-11e3-a06a-e3230a43d6cb_story.html) agencies (http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2014/03/15/ukraine-russian-forces_n_4971019.html), reports are coming in that Russian forces have crept up north into mainland Ukraine.


In related news, the U.S. is planning to send 25,000 cases of Meals Ready to Eat (MRE's) (http://abcnews.go.com/Politics/wireStory/pentagon-sending-ready-eat-meals-ukraine-22914711) to Ukraine for their request for supplies of any kind for their military. 

Protips for any Ukrainian service member reading this:  Heat the meals, and make sure you have some hot sauce on hand just in case you don't like the entre.  The Chili Mac is pretty good, especially when heated, the ravioli and Beef Stew MRE has M&Ms or Skittles.  If you don't want to gain a lot of weight, take the vegetarian meal.
Title: Re: Things just got real in Ukraine
Post by: RavynousHunter on March 16, 2014, 08:32:07 am
That is, of course, assuming that they eat the MREs and then sit around doing fuck all, which I highly doubt will be the case as military people generally like to keep their bodies moving to keep in, ya know, militarily-fit physical condition.  A fat soldier is a dead soldier.
Title: Re: Things just got real in Ukraine
Post by: Kat S. on March 16, 2014, 04:02:06 pm
That is, of course, assuming that they eat the MREs and then sit around doing fuck all, which I highly doubt will be the case as military people generally like to keep their bodies moving to keep in, ya know, militarily-fit physical condition.  A fat soldier is a dead soldier.

If war for them is anything like what U.S. soldiers experience, there can be some times of waiting.  Ukraine's military may not have, and pardon the pun, a big issue with overweight soldiers, but I bet you they are out there no matter what military.
Title: Re: Things just got real in Ukraine
Post by: Ultimate Paragon on March 16, 2014, 05:25:23 pm
I think part of Putin's problem is that he's been surrounded by sycophants for 14 years.  He's probably starting to buy into his own lies.
Title: Re: Things just got real in Ukraine
Post by: KZN02 on March 16, 2014, 09:12:12 pm
Hoo boy, Crimea wants to be with Russia (http://abcnews.go.com/International/crimea-voters-overwhelmingly-approve-leaving-ukraine-joining-russia/story?id=22930062)
Title: Re: Things just got real in Ukraine
Post by: Lt. Fred on March 16, 2014, 09:29:32 pm
That is, not to put too fine a point on it, some bullshit.
Title: Re: Things just got real in Ukraine
Post by: Ultimate Paragon on March 16, 2014, 10:12:24 pm
Hoo boy, Crimea wants to be with Russia (http://abcnews.go.com/International/crimea-voters-overwhelmingly-approve-leaving-ukraine-joining-russia/story?id=22930062)
And Putin got 140% of the vote.  Is anybody seriously fooled?
Title: Re: Things just got real in Ukraine
Post by: RavynousHunter on March 17, 2014, 08:53:49 am
When your only choice is "join Russia," the whole vote is a farce to begin with; it gives the illusion of choice without actually giving a real choice.
Title: Re: Things just got real in Ukraine
Post by: dpareja on March 17, 2014, 11:00:32 am
Hoo boy, Crimea wants to be with Russia (http://abcnews.go.com/International/crimea-voters-overwhelmingly-approve-leaving-ukraine-joining-russia/story?id=22930062)
And Putin got 140% of the vote.  Is anybody seriously fooled?
Kim Jong-Un is jealous.  :P
Title: Re: Things just got real in Ukraine
Post by: Ultimate Paragon on March 17, 2014, 11:15:42 am
Am I the only one reminded of Nazi Germany annexing the Sudetenland?  Let's hope Putin's Anschluss doesn't work.
Title: Re: Things just got real in Ukraine
Post by: Kat S. on March 17, 2014, 01:25:22 pm
Elena Filatova's response on her website:

Quote
On March 16 people in Crimea voted for independence from Ukraine and for joining Russian federation. I was asked how people in Ukraine feel about it.

 People in Ukraine are pretty much pissed off. The closest comparison would be feeling of a parent whose adopted child moves to his real mother an alcoholic and psychopath. Child tells you he love his mother and hates you, he tells you there is no you blood in him, he send you to hell and slam the door.... This leaves you very sad and you can't believe you've brought up such an ungrateful brat... you see wasted years, wasted efforts and the fact that brat has no you blood in him is a bit of a comfort..

Yeah, the election results are very fishy to me, but that hasn't stopped Russia from officially declaring everything in Crimea as theirs.  The U.S. is now imposing sanctions on Russia, and the U.N. is about to do the same. 

Also, some jacka** kremlin based reporter named Dmitry Kiselyov is saying that almighty Russia can nuke the U.S. into oblivion (http://news.yahoo.com/russia-turn-u-radioactive-ash-kremlin-backed-journalist-223608042--sector.html).  Yeah, keep drinking the Cold-War Flavor-Aid, Dmitry.
Title: Re: Things just got real in Ukraine
Post by: Askold on March 17, 2014, 01:42:57 pm
I was already laughing at the 96% voting results for Crimea joining Russia (thinking that at least they didn't go like North Korea or Saddam and claim 100% vote results.) but turns out it went even better than expected: 123% of Voters in Crimea voted for them to join Russia...

http://www.pravda.com.ua/rus/news/2014/03/17/7019270/

RUSSIA STRONG!
Title: Re: Things just got real in Ukraine
Post by: Meshakhad on March 18, 2014, 01:20:28 am
And tensions just went up another four notches:

Turkey Threatens To Close The Bosphorus (http://ukrainianpolicy.com/turkey-warns-russia-it-will-blockade-bosphorus/)
Title: Re: Things just got real in Ukraine
Post by: Kat S. on March 18, 2014, 08:43:15 am
And tensions just went up another four notches:

Turkey Threatens To Close The Bosphorus (http://ukrainianpolicy.com/turkey-warns-russia-it-will-blockade-bosphorus/)

Of course, since the Tartars live in Crimea and are being basically s**t on by the Russians there.  Also, since the Tartars are close in ethnic blood ties to Turkey, it's only natural that Turkey protects the ethnic citizens there.  Right, Putin?  I mean, that's logic reasoning, right?
Title: Re: Things just got real in Ukraine
Post by: Art Vandelay on March 18, 2014, 08:54:51 am
And tensions just went up another four notches:

Turkey Threatens To Close The Bosphorus (http://ukrainianpolicy.com/turkey-warns-russia-it-will-blockade-bosphorus/)

Of course, since the Tartars live in Crimea and are being basically s**t on by the Russians there.  Also, since the Tartars are close in ethnic blood ties to Turkey, it's only natural that Turkey protects the ethnic citizens there.  Right, Putin?  I mean, that's logic reasoning, right?

Unlikely, chances are the government just thinks the Tartars as any other non-Turks, not their concern. I'd say Turkey's rather close relations with the US is much more of a factor than the Tartars, all things considered.
Title: Re: Things just got real in Ukraine
Post by: Askold on March 18, 2014, 12:11:59 pm
The officials who were monitoring the vote were a rather interesting bunch:
http://maidantranslations.com/2014/03/17/anton-shekhovtsov-pro-russian-extremists-observe-the-illegitimate-crimean-referendum/

Left- and right-wing extremists. Neo-Nazis AND Neo-Stalinists standing together...

Garri Kasparov wrote an article about the Crimean mess. Elsewhere he has also complained about the meager sanctions USA made against Russia.

http://www.politico.com/magazine/story/2014/03/vladmir-putin-crimea-hitler-1938-104711.html#.UyhvI4UZpx1

EDIT:

Ukrainian soldier has been killed in attack at the Crimean capital and the prime minister of Ukraine has stated that the conflict is no longer political, it is now a military conflict...  I tried finding an english article about that. I got this:
http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2014-03-18/ukraine-prime-minister-says-crimea-conflict-has-moved-political-military-stage
Quote
as it should be, that's how men settle the score...
Comment said by a user with the inverted flag of USA as his avatar.
Title: Re: Things just got real in Ukraine
Post by: Lt. Fred on March 18, 2014, 07:59:38 pm
Kasparov is being silly; to be fair, he's not an expert, so this is understandable. But that raises the obvious problem: why don't we listen to actual foreign policy experts in time of crisis? Why do we listen to, in the first instance, half-witted hawkish fascists and, in the second instance, celebrities? Why not talk to someone who has, at any point in their life, made a prediction about foreign affairs that was actually correct?

I think this is a large problem in foreign policy throughout the world: there is no accountability. You can make bullshit, silly predictions that turn out to be totally, obviously untrue - and be rewarded for it. But if you make the sort of recommendations we don't like, or that don't make us feel powerful, you're not part of the conversation. So we lurch from fuck-up to fuck-up without considering that perhaps the people responsible ought to be shot.

Here is something from someone that might have not totally got everything wrong as Kasparov very obviously has.

http://www.foreignpolicy.com/articles/2014/03/03/no_contest_ukraine_obama_putin
Title: Re: Things just got real in Ukraine
Post by: Kat S. on March 20, 2014, 08:48:54 pm
After the U.S. imposed sanctions against Russia, Russia imposed sanctions against prominent members of the U.S. Government.  Maybe some of these people have something financial in Russia, but I doubt it.  I guess Russia is trying to be symbolic now. 

Either way, I hope Putin is happy, because people on both sides are speculating about a resurgence of the Cold War.  Putin seems to be spoiling for a Cold war fight, and may this time finally put Putin in his place and finally get him to shut up and sit his a** down.
Title: Re: Things just got real in Ukraine
Post by: Ultimate Paragon on March 20, 2014, 09:10:54 pm
(http://images4.fanpop.com/image/answers/1890000/1890766_1313551369938.11res_293_300.jpg)

THIS IS WHAT PUTIN ACTUALLY BELIEVES.
Title: Re: Things just got real in Ukraine
Post by: dpareja on March 20, 2014, 10:01:27 pm
Either way, I hope Putin is happy, because people on both sides are speculating about a resurgence of the Cold War.  Putin seems to be spoiling for a Cold war fight, and may this time finally put Putin in his place and finally get him to shut up and sit his a** down.

The problem with this is that it would probably involve invading Russia at some point, which is basically impossible.
Title: Re: Things just got real in Ukraine
Post by: Ultimate Paragon on March 20, 2014, 10:05:17 pm
Either way, I hope Putin is happy, because people on both sides are speculating about a resurgence of the Cold War.  Putin seems to be spoiling for a Cold war fight, and may this time finally put Putin in his place and finally get him to shut up and sit his a** down.

The problem with this is that it would probably involve invading Russia at some point, which is basically impossible.
Unless you are the Mongols.

#Invalid YouTube Link#
Title: Re: Things just got real in Ukraine
Post by: Askold on March 20, 2014, 10:33:52 pm
Either way, I hope Putin is happy, because people on both sides are speculating about a resurgence of the Cold War.  Putin seems to be spoiling for a Cold war fight, and may this time finally put Putin in his place and finally get him to shut up and sit his a** down.

The problem with this is that it would probably involve invading Russia at some point, which is basically impossible.
Unless you are the Mongols.

#Invalid YouTube Link#
Mongols cannot into youtube.
Title: Re: Things just got real in Ukraine
Post by: Ultimate Paragon on March 20, 2014, 10:42:15 pm
Either way, I hope Putin is happy, because people on both sides are speculating about a resurgence of the Cold War.  Putin seems to be spoiling for a Cold war fight, and may this time finally put Putin in his place and finally get him to shut up and sit his a** down.

The problem with this is that it would probably involve invading Russia at some point, which is basically impossible.
Unless you are the Mongols.

#Invalid YouTube Link#
Mongols cannot into youtube.
Okay, I'm getting sick of this.  What am I doing wrong?
Title: Re: Things just got real in Ukraine
Post by: ironbite on March 20, 2014, 10:47:15 pm
Existing.
Title: Re: Things just got real in Ukraine
Post by: Sigmaleph on March 20, 2014, 10:48:27 pm
You're posting https links, instead of http ones. Delete the s and it should work. In the meantime, this is the video:

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=m5nlD2CR7tI
Title: Re: Things just got real in Ukraine
Post by: KZN02 on March 21, 2014, 04:51:01 pm
On the subject of Crimea, a new meme is born (http://knowyourmeme.com/memes/people/natalia-poklonskaya).
Title: Re: Things just got real in Ukraine
Post by: Random Gal on March 21, 2014, 05:21:46 pm
Let me just say this:

If push comes to shove and the US military gets involved in Ukraine, we're going to be glad DADT was repealed. I can't be the only one who thinks Putin's homophobic policies could be a good recruiting tool.
Title: Re: Things just got real in Ukraine
Post by: Art Vandelay on March 21, 2014, 06:48:09 pm
If push comes to shove and the US military gets involved in Ukraine
Yeah, that's not going to happen. Like, ever.
Title: Re: Things just got real in Ukraine
Post by: Random Gal on March 21, 2014, 07:26:12 pm
If push comes to shove and the US military gets involved in Ukraine
Yeah, that's not going to happen. Like, ever.

True. That would put us rather uncomfortably close to pissing off someone who could do real damage, and as much as Russia has boasted that "we won't launch the first nuke," nobody wants to put that to the test.
Title: Re: Things just got real in Ukraine
Post by: Art Vandelay on March 21, 2014, 07:31:44 pm
If push comes to shove and the US military gets involved in Ukraine
Yeah, that's not going to happen. Like, ever.

True. That would put us rather uncomfortably close to pissing off someone who could do real damage, and as much as Russia has boasted that "we won't launch the first nuke," nobody wants to put that to the test.

It's not even that. At the end of the day, it makes little difference to the US and their overall power whether or not Russia controls Crimea. It's not as though that area was ever part of the US sphere of influence in the first place. Anything more than presidential complaining and maybe some token aid to Ukraine, much less a full scale invasion, is just far more costly than it's worth.
Title: Re: Things just got real in Ukraine
Post by: Kat S. on March 21, 2014, 10:19:36 pm
Ukraine has signed a trade agreement with the EU. (http://www.cnn.com/2014/03/21/world/europe/ukraine-crisis/)  The latest move by Ukraine is probably in retaliation to Russia annexing Crimea without giving a crap about Ukraine. 

If Ukraine decides to throw middle fingers at Russia and proceed to join NATO, then I can see NATO forces helping Ukraine.  If that happens, I can see this becoming much like the Bosnian War.  Sure Russia is thumping its chest now, but using chemical or nuclear weapons would probably have Russia pitting against the rest of the world for doing that.  Russia wants to exhibit fear and strength as much as possible without shooting itself in the foot.

But hey, I'm just speculating here.
Title: Re: Things just got real in Ukraine
Post by: Lt. Fred on March 22, 2014, 12:39:51 am
If push comes to shove and the US military gets involved in Ukraine
Yeah, that's not going to happen. Like, ever.

True. That would put us rather uncomfortably close to pissing off someone who could do real damage, and as much as Russia has boasted that "we won't launch the first nuke," nobody wants to put that to the test.

It's not even that. At the end of the day, it makes little difference to the US and their overall power whether or not Russia controls Crimea. It's not as though that area was ever part of the US sphere of influence in the first place. Anything more than presidential complaining and maybe some token aid to Ukraine, much less a full scale invasion, is just far more costly than it's worth.

Well, Russian containment is part of the US's perceived interests. This annexation of Crimea will, of course, greatly aid that attempt. I expect Ukranian NATO membership ASAP, not to mention Macedonia, Bosnia, Georgia and a number of the Eastern European IPAP nations

Upshot: nice one screwing yourself, Russia.
Title: Re: Things just got real in Ukraine
Post by: Stormwarden on March 22, 2014, 01:27:00 am
Since NATO can help them, it would make any further incursions beyond Crimea messy indeed for Russia, but I'm not convinced it'll keep them from trying. Ironically, I think it's Russia's economy that'll do more to prevent that than NATO's deterrence might.
Title: Re: Things just got real in Ukraine
Post by: Ultimate Paragon on March 22, 2014, 12:33:01 pm
The way I see it, Putin's acting like a Soviet dictator born twenty years too late.
Title: Re: Things just got real in Ukraine
Post by: Random Gal on March 22, 2014, 01:05:49 pm
The way I see it, Putin's acting like a Soviet dictator born twenty years too late.

What else would you expect from the former head of the KGB?
Title: Re: Things just got real in Ukraine
Post by: Askold on March 22, 2014, 01:27:16 pm
Russian troops with tanks took over the last Ukrainian military base in Crimea. The Ukrainian soldiers were unarmed and did not resist, according to reports one of the Ukrainians was injured.

http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2014-03-22/russian-forces-storm-crimean-military-base-belbek-live-webcast
As a fun little bit, apparently the Russians didn't like that the base had camera giving the world a live feed of the takeover so they tore it down.
Title: Re: Things just got real in Ukraine
Post by: lord gibbon on March 22, 2014, 09:13:40 pm
The way I see it, Putin's acting like a Soviet dictator born twenty years too late.

I've always said that he's acting more like a Czar.
Title: Re: Things just got real in Ukraine
Post by: RavynousHunter on March 23, 2014, 10:29:56 am
The way I see it, Putin's acting like a Soviet dictator born twenty years too late.

I've always said that he's acting more like a Czar.

I see what you did there...and, yes, Lenin's likely rolling over in his grave seeing what his political descendants have wrought.
Title: Re: Things just got real in Ukraine
Post by: Kat S. on March 27, 2014, 06:58:58 pm
Obama says Russia is not a superpower, or even a threat to the U.S. (http://blogs.wsj.com/washwire/2014/03/25/obama-russia-is-just-a-regional-power-not-top-u-s-foe/)  The statement comes from Romney stating Russia is the top threat to the U.S. and thusly, more than likely, giving Putin something to jerk off to.

Elena has given another post. (http://www.angelfire.com/extreme4/kiddofspeed/maydan/updatemarch25.html) In it she states of how Ukraine tried to cut off power to Crimea since they seceded from Ukraine.  She also warns people who read her website to not visit Ukraine now unless you absolutely must.

Sadly though, I'm sure there will be, if there aren't already, people from other countries that will visit Ukraine for some stupid reason.

Title: Re: Things just got real in Ukraine
Post by: RavynousHunter on March 27, 2014, 07:31:53 pm
"Let's all go visit a potential warzone!"
"I'll bring my hardhat!"
"I'll bring the kevlar!"
"I'll bring the bomb-proof beer steins!"
Title: Re: Things just got real in Ukraine
Post by: ironbite on March 27, 2014, 07:34:50 pm
Let's make it an adventure!
Title: Re: Things just got real in Ukraine
Post by: Kat S. on March 27, 2014, 08:54:49 pm
"Let's all go visit a potential warzone!"
"I'll bring my hardhat!"
"I'll bring the kevlar!"
"I'll bring the bomb-proof beer steins!"

Sadly, Nick Berg (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nick_Berg) thought it would be a great idea to privately start a business venture in Iraq in 2004.

The U.S. State Department issues travel warnings to Ukraine (http://travel.state.gov/content/passports/english/alertswarnings/ukraine-travel-warning.html) and other countries to help those who wonder, "Hmmm...should I really go to this country?"  However, some people can't be helped and will go anyway because of reasons of their own that would not benefit themselves or Ukraine.

Update 4/6/14: Pro-Russian demonstrators have taken over goverment buildings in Eastern Ukraine. (http://m.washingtonpost.com/world/europe/pro-russia-protesters-seize-buildings-in-eastern-ukraine-kiev-blames-putin/2014/04/06/68f8ba04-bdc4-11e3-bcec-b71ee10e9bc3_story.html)  Let's see what happens next.
Title: Re: Things just got real in Ukraine
Post by: Askold on April 07, 2014, 03:38:34 am
Some updates on this conflict.
https://twitter.com/EuromaidanPR/status/452931858565574656/photo/1

Like Kat said "Ukrainians" who are pro Russian have invaded coverment buildings in eastern Ukraine. But some of them accidentally invaded an opera house instead.

This is what happens when you just take some random gang members from Moscow and try to claim that they are local Ukrainians. At the very least they should have spent few minutes with a map before starting the operation.

EDIT: Donetsk region has declared that they have seceded from Ukraine.
Title: Re: Things just got real in Ukraine
Post by: Kat S. on April 07, 2014, 06:20:53 pm
All the meanwhile in the comments section in various Ukraine conflict news articles, commenters from the United States are divided into three main crowds: the "Let's not get involved in this European conflict and let the EU, Ukraine, and Russia hash it out" crowd, the "Let's steamroll into and push out the Russians out of Ukraine and all the way to Moscow guns a blazing. P.S. Obama is pathetic in handling this" crowd, and the "Wow, things are really getting bad in Ukraine.  We should really help the Ukrainians not be bullied by Russia." crowd.


"Let's not get involved in this European conflict and let the EU, Ukraine, and Russia hash it out." - In my mind this mentality is hauntingly reminescent of the prevaling attitude of America when WWI broke out in Europe.  We (United States) ended up getting involved the "European Conflict" anyway.  More recently, when the Taliban took over Afghanistan in 1996, we didn't do anything to the Taliban to stop their form of governence, and that came back to bite us in the butt on 9/11/01.  I understand if you don't want the military sent off to another conflict after a decade of two campaigns overseas and/or you want our goverment to focus more on domestic issues than issues overseas.  However, the United States cannot be isolationist.  It didn't work back then, and given the advent of technology plus Putin's history, it's not going to be that way now.


"Let's steamroll into and push the Russians out of Ukraine and all the way to Moscow guns a blazing. P.S. Obama is pathetic in handling this." - Sure, I would like Obama to be a bit more assertive in keeping Russia from picking on Ukraine, but a full blown or a significant use of military would be actually playing into what Putin wants, which I think is a U.S. versus Russia (ideally U.S.S.R. for Putin) by proxy of Ukraine.  Putin wants to use his military to punish Ukraine "protect Russian citizens", but can't because he'll end up having the rest of the world against him much like when Saddam Hussein "annexed" Kuwait in 1990.  Plus military campaigns often do not play out like what you see in action war films, and Obama is the leader of the United States in reality, not some movie archetype.


"Wow, things are getting bad in Ukraine.  We should really help the Ukrainians not be bullied by Russia." - I personally would like to help Ukraine become a better country than what it is now.  If I were a policy maker, I would ask the Ukrainian people what they would like, and if reasonable, help them achieve their goals.  The thing is, is that Ukraine has to come up with what they want for the future of their country and guide themselves to prosperity.  No one else can really do that for them.  Many pro-EU Ukrainians want Western Europe and the United States to actively step in and make Putin stop the madness. Some Ukrainians, like Elena, are not satisfied by the West's response to Putin's antics.  She even accuses Obama and Merkel of protecting corporate interests instead of helping Ukraine.
Title: Re: Things just got real in Ukraine
Post by: Kat S. on April 12, 2014, 07:00:53 pm
More pro-Russian demonstrators have taken over another part of Eastern Ukraine. (http://www.cnn.com/2014/04/12/world/europe/ukraine-crisis/)

and

Elena(or at least whoever actually wrote the post) is straight up pissed off at the West. (http://www.angelfire.com/extreme4/kiddofspeed/maydan/updateapril12.html)
Title: Re: Things just got real in Ukraine
Post by: I am lizard on April 12, 2014, 11:35:08 pm
I hoping this will end in Crimea seceding and not become a full blown invasion.
Title: Re: Things just got real in Ukraine
Post by: Askold on April 13, 2014, 01:24:45 am
Shots fired as Russian troops civilian volunteers storm a police station in Ukraine and take over.
http://euromaidanpr.com/2014/04/13/sos-russia-occupies-continental-ukraine/

At least this time the pro-Russian troops aren't using guns that could be traced back to Russia by sight alone. A standard AK with some civilian equipment would have worked as well but a pimped out AR-15 is a pretty nice touch.

EDIT: SHOTS FIRED!

http://euromaidanpr.com/2014/04/13/counter-terrorism-operation-announced-in-sloviansk/
Ukraine has started to take back the buildings and blocks under "separatist" control.
Title: Re: Things just got real in Ukraine
Post by: mellenORL on April 13, 2014, 09:14:43 am
They're would to have to arrest and deport all of Putin's planted "pro Russia" agent provocateurs, and also deport any ethnic Russian Ukrainians who are enabling this bullshit. Deportation is a very mild course to take when such citizens are in fact committing treason. The problem is lack of manpower and resources and time to do that. Things are going to get much uglier in a matter of days.

Putin is taking a page from the ancient Indian's method of warfare; just send in hordes of people to infiltrate and occupy land, arranging a moving perimeter of soldiers to enforce the invasion, much like a disease infection spreads within a body.
Title: Re: Things just got real in Ukraine
Post by: ironbite on April 13, 2014, 08:22:40 pm
Yeah Putin really really really wants the Ukraine for some reason only the gods know.

Ironbite-it's really bizarre how much he wants this country.
Title: Re: Things just got real in Ukraine
Post by: lord gibbon on April 13, 2014, 08:42:08 pm
As I've said before, I think he want's to rebuild the Russian empire. Ukrane was part of that, so Putin thinks it belongs to him.
Title: Re: Things just got real in Ukraine
Post by: Ultimate Paragon on April 13, 2014, 08:49:14 pm
As I've said before, I think he want's to rebuild the Russian empire. Ukrane was part of that, so Putin thinks it belongs to him.
Then somebody should remind him that real life isn't a game of Crusader Kings II.
Title: Re: Things just got real in Ukraine
Post by: MadCatTLX on April 13, 2014, 08:53:42 pm
Shots fired as Russian troops civilian volunteers storm a police station in Ukraine and take over.
http://euromaidanpr.com/2014/04/13/sos-russia-occupies-continental-ukraine/

At least this time the pro-Russian troops aren't using guns that could be traced back to Russia by sight alone. A standard AK with some civilian equipment would have worked as well but a pimped out AR-15 is a pretty nice touch.

EDIT: SHOTS FIRED!

http://euromaidanpr.com/2014/04/13/counter-terrorism-operation-announced-in-sloviansk/
Ukraine has started to take back the buildings and blocks under "separatist" control.

The first picture shows what look a hell of a lot like the front sights and gas block of an AK.
Title: Re: Things just got real in Ukraine
Post by: Askold on April 14, 2014, 12:20:37 am
And here we have the "volunteer militia/rebels/Gru-Speznaz/whatever" in action. They seem... Professional.

Based on the muzzlebreaks those guns are either AK-74 or some commercial AK-hundredsomething. Although I think the commercial models have synthetic furniture. There have also been pictures of these troops with Russian grenadelauchers attached to the guns and gear that is only given to Russian special forces, but those pictures might be from Crimea so at this point it is not that clear.

#Invalid YouTube Link#
Title: Re: Things just got real in Ukraine
Post by: Ultimate Paragon on April 14, 2014, 12:24:57 am
And here we have the "volunteer militia/rebels/Gru-Speznaz/whatever" in action. They seem... Professional.

Based on the muzzlebreaks those guns are either AK-74 or some commercial AK-hundredsomething. Although I think the commercial models have synthetic furniture. There have also been pictures of these troops with Russian grenadelauchers attached to the guns and gear that is only given to Russian special forces, but those pictures might be from Crimea so at this point it is not that clear.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=oQfK36byhJ4
"They're ex-military.  Veterans of the August War (which, by the way, was completely justified)."
Title: Re: Things just got real in Ukraine
Post by: chitoryu12 on April 14, 2014, 12:28:35 pm
And here we have the "volunteer militia/rebels/Gru-Speznaz/whatever" in action. They seem... Professional.

Based on the muzzlebreaks those guns are either AK-74 or some commercial AK-hundredsomething. Although I think the commercial models have synthetic furniture. There have also been pictures of these troops with Russian grenadelauchers attached to the guns and gear that is only given to Russian special forces, but those pictures might be from Crimea so at this point it is not that clear.

The AK-74M has updated to synthetic furniture (black being the standard). You could tell if it was in the 100 series by the magazine: the 101 and 102 are in 5.56mm and have almost completely straight magazines, while the 103 and 104 are in 7.62x39mm and have the heavily curved AK-47 mags. From what I can see in the video, the mags have the 5.45mm curve and are thus AK-74s or copies from another country.

Also, shooting into the air is one of the stupidest things you can do. Bullets come back down, and unless you shoot at a literal 90 degree angle straight up they're likely to land with enough energy to kill someone. About a minute or two after they started shooting, a ton of 5.45x39mm bullets promptly landed God knows where.
Title: Re: Things just got real in Ukraine
Post by: mellenORL on April 14, 2014, 12:37:41 pm
And here we have the "volunteer militia/rebels/Gru-Speznaz/whatever" in action. They seem... Professional.

Based on the muzzlebreaks those guns are either AK-74 or some commercial AK-hundredsomething. Although I think the commercial models have synthetic furniture. There have also been pictures of these troops with Russian grenadelauchers attached to the guns and gear that is only given to Russian special forces, but those pictures might be from Crimea so at this point it is not that clear.

The AK-74M has updated to synthetic furniture (black being the standard). You could tell if it was in the 100 series by the magazine: the 101 and 102 are in 5.56mm and have almost completely straight magazines, while the 103 and 104 are in 7.62x39mm and have the heavily curved AK-47 mags. From what I can see in the video, the mags have the 5.45mm curve and are thus AK-74s or copies from another country.

Also, shooting into the air is one of the stupidest things you can do. Bullets come back down, and unless you shoot at a literal 90 degree angle straight up they're likely to land with enough energy to kill someone. About a minute or two after they started shooting, a ton of 5.45x39mm bullets promptly landed God knows where.

Two deaths from falling slugs come to mind, both incidents happened in Atlanta. Before the '96 Olympics, a security guard at the athlete's housing section was struck and killed by a large caliber sniper rifle slug that fell through his neck - it was a New Year's Eve celebration round fired off by some fuckwit 4 miles away in the Buckhead neighborhood of Atlanta. About ten years later, a little 9 year black girl was attending a Wednesday night bible reading with her parents at a small storefront church when a 9mm round fired up into the air fell and punched through the flimsy tin roof and acoustical tiles above her head, killing her instantly with massive brain trauma.
Title: Re: Things just got real in Ukraine
Post by: Askold on April 15, 2014, 11:41:38 am
Well, I think they couldn't fire at the ground due to fear of richochets from the pavement, but I agree that shooting in the air is dangerous and they might have accidentally killed people. ...While firing warning shots because they didn't want to kill people...

But that pales in comparison to this: The Ukrainian military is attacking.

Fighter opening fire at some separatists:
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KjjEnTSpSaY

GRU officers have been arrested in Ukraine:
http://euromaidanpr.com/2014/04/15/ukrainians-detain-russian-gru-officers-who-acted-in-ukraine/

I am ashamed that I can't pronounce the name of that town or most of the other names in the article. Anyway, Ukraine is arming up as fast as it can.
http://euromaidanpr.com/2014/04/15/dnipropetrovsk-promises-putin-a-second-stalingrad/#more-7124

Another fun result from this conflict, Russia was getting some vital weapons and equipment from Ukraine and now that Ukraine said FUCK NO to all business with Russia their military is hurting.
https://www.rusi.org/downloads/assets/UKRANIANMILITARYDISPOSITIONS_RUSIBRIEFING.pdf
Quote
Some 30 percent of Ukrainian military exports to Russia are unique and cannot currently
be substituted by Russian production. Russia’s heavy intercontinental ballistic missiles (the SS-18 ICBMs) are designed and produced by the
Yuzhmash combine in Dnepropetrovsk. SS-18s are regularly checked and maintained by Yuzhmash specialists. Two other strategic missile systems –
the SS-25 (RT-2PM Topol) and the SS-19 (UR-100 NUTTKh) – are designed and produced by Russian-based enterprises, but use guidance systems designed
and produced in Ukraine by the Kharkiv-based Khartron Scientific-Industrial Combine. The SS-18, SS-19 and SS-25 currently make up some 51 per cent of
Russia’s overall strategic nuclear-weapons inventory and over 80 per cent of that of Russia’s Strategic Rocket Forces specifically. In addition, some 20 per
cent of the natural uranium currently consumed by Russia’s nuclear industry, both for civilian and military purposes, comes from Zholti Vody in Ukraine.

Quote
The Russian air force is also critically dependent on the Ukrainian defence
industry. Ukrainian enterprises produce the R-27 (the AA-10 Alamo) medium-
range air-to-air missile (AAM), as well as the seekers for the R-73 (AA-11
Archer) short-range AAM – which, between them, represent the majority of
anti-air missiles operated by Russian fighters. Many of the auxiliary systems
– from hydraulics to drogue parachutes – for the Russian Su-27, Su-30 and
Su-35 fighters, as well as for Russia’s newest Su-34, are also produced in
Ukraine. In Zaporizhia, the Motor-Sich plant has a major role in Russian
aviation.
Motor-Sich produces jet engines for a variety of Russian transport
jet aircraft, including the An-124 Ruslan, the largest Russian transport
aircraft, as well as for some combat and training aircraft. The plant also
produces engines for all Russian combat and transport helicopters, as well
as auxiliary power units for all Russian helicopters and many types of combat
and transport aircraft.
Russia has made a vast effort to reduce its dependence upon Motor-Sich
engines, but the evidence is that it cannot produce enough engines to meet
its own demand – to say nothing of an ambitious rearmament programme,
which looks as if it will require at least 3,000 helicopter engines in a two-to-
three year period to equip Russian forces.
Russia’s dependence on Motor-Sich also has the effect of restricting its own
military and aviation exports. For the period 2013–16, Russia has secured
contracts for the delivery of over 260 new helicopters around the world, all
of which are equipped with either main or auxiliary engines supplied by the
Ukrainian company.

...Actually that means that if this conflict ends without Russia conquering Ukraine completely and seizing those companies their military and businesses are really going to hurt for a while before they find other sources for those weapons and equipment.
Title: Re: Things just got real in Ukraine
Post by: chitoryu12 on April 15, 2014, 11:50:25 am
Quote
Well, I think they couldn't fire at the ground due to fear of richochets from the pavement, but I agree that shooting in the air is dangerous and they might have accidentally killed people. ...While firing warning shots because they didn't want to kill people...

You're never supposed to shoot at anything other than the target anyway, which is why warning shots are generally a no-no. Compensating for ricochets by spraying randomly into the air does literally nothing to change the potential outcome.

Quote
GRU officers have been arrested in Ukraine:

I'm sorry, but all I can think of is this:

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0_blUzsgnXc
Title: Re: Things just got real in Ukraine
Post by: Askold on April 17, 2014, 09:41:00 am
Interesting article from a Finnish military magazine.

http://www.suomensotilas.fi/en/artikkelit/little-green-men-are-different-time

All in all, I have to bow to their expertise and find their assesment plausible.

In other news, Ukrainian military is a bit embarrassed when some of their soldiers abandoned APCs to the separatists without a fight. Not a good show for the grand operation to retake the region.
Title: Re: Things just got real in Ukraine
Post by: chitoryu12 on April 17, 2014, 11:03:49 am
Interesting article from a Finnish military magazine.

http://www.suomensotilas.fi/en/artikkelit/little-green-men-are-different-time

All in all, I have to bow to their expertise and find their assesment plausible.

As do I. That would definitely explain the terrifically bad tactics and unsafe behavior of the "troops" in that video. The other guys that you see randomly shooting into the air in modern times? Middle Eastern insurgents. When the supposed "Russian soldiers" are acting like a bunch of untrained civilians tossed assault rifles and told to go take over a city, it casts their identity into doubt.
Title: Re: Things just got real in Ukraine
Post by: Random Gal on April 17, 2014, 02:10:13 pm
Interesting article from a Finnish military magazine.

http://www.suomensotilas.fi/en/artikkelit/little-green-men-are-different-time

All in all, I have to bow to their expertise and find their assesment plausible.

As do I. That would definitely explain the terrifically bad tactics and unsafe behavior of the "troops" in that video. The other guys that you see randomly shooting into the air in modern times? Middle Eastern insurgents. When the supposed "Russian soldiers" are acting like a bunch of untrained civilians tossed assault rifles and told to go take over a city, it casts their identity into doubt.

Pretty sure Russia's still behind it; they're just using hired thugs instead of their own troops.
Title: Re: Things just got real in Ukraine
Post by: chitoryu12 on April 17, 2014, 08:39:56 pm
Interesting article from a Finnish military magazine.

http://www.suomensotilas.fi/en/artikkelit/little-green-men-are-different-time

All in all, I have to bow to their expertise and find their assesment plausible.

As do I. That would definitely explain the terrifically bad tactics and unsafe behavior of the "troops" in that video. The other guys that you see randomly shooting into the air in modern times? Middle Eastern insurgents. When the supposed "Russian soldiers" are acting like a bunch of untrained civilians tossed assault rifles and told to go take over a city, it casts their identity into doubt.

Pretty sure Russia's still behind it; they're just using hired thugs instead of their own troops.

Oh, definitely. It's just a bit odd to send in what are basically crappy mercenaries instead of soldiers.

What possible advantage could they get out of it? They can't be paying these guys much less than they pay their own soldiers, and they're much less effective if they actually get into a fight. I know the Russian military isn't in top condition, but they can't be so bad off that they have to send in criminals with fatigues instead of soldiers.
Title: Re: Things just got real in Ukraine
Post by: lord gibbon on April 17, 2014, 08:42:29 pm
It's diplomacy. This way, they can technically say that they don't have troops In Ukraine.
Title: Re: Things just got real in Ukraine
Post by: RavynousHunter on April 17, 2014, 08:54:45 pm
It's diplomacy. This way, they can technically say that they don't have troops In Ukraine.

Its quite ingenious, actually.  Let's say one of these "soldiers" gets attacked; maybe some Ukrainians who don't take too kindly to V-Poots' (Thanks for that one, Spuki!) antics get fed up with the "soldiers'" bullshit (because they're not proper soldiers and likely lack a sense of decorum) and decide to kick their arses.  Well, now, Russia suddenly has an excuse for a full-out invasion, don't they?  They conveniently "forget" to mention that the "soldiers" there are only shitty, likely underpaid, mercs, and they don't run the risk of wasting perfectly good, real soldiers.

Conspiracy-style shite, but honestly...I wouldn't put it past Stalin 2.0.
Title: Re: Things just got real in Ukraine
Post by: chitoryu12 on April 17, 2014, 10:52:19 pm
It's diplomacy. This way, they can technically say that they don't have troops In Ukraine.

Its quite ingenious, actually.  Let's say one of these "soldiers" gets attacked; maybe some Ukrainians who don't take too kindly to V-Poots' (Thanks for that one, Spuki!) antics get fed up with the "soldiers'" bullshit (because they're not proper soldiers and likely lack a sense of decorum) and decide to kick their arses.  Well, now, Russia suddenly has an excuse for a full-out invasion, don't they?  They conveniently "forget" to mention that the "soldiers" there are only shitty, likely underpaid, mercs, and they don't run the risk of wasting perfectly good, real soldiers.

Conspiracy-style shite, but honestly...I wouldn't put it past Stalin 2.0.

Russia is already risking a lot by sending in soldiers and mercs in the first place. Starting a full invasion, especially in response to their own men abusing their power and getting their asses beat, would basically kill any good relations they have in the civilized world.
Title: Re: Things just got real in Ukraine
Post by: Kat S. on April 17, 2014, 11:00:06 pm
Yeah, and all the meanwhile Putin is staying conspicously silent to the rest of the world for this matter.  I guess he realized those B.S. press confrerences he held earlier during the Crimea situation weren't fooling anyone outside of Russia, and the "talks" he made with the west about Ukraine aren't going to fall in his favor either.

As for Ukraine, this time now would be prime oportunity for someone to emerge as a leader in this crisis. Ukraine will eventually have to stand up against Russia if they want Russia to stop punking and bullying them.
Title: Re: Things just got real in Ukraine
Post by: Canadian Mojo on April 18, 2014, 06:56:17 pm
It's probably a safe bet that you can't trace the mercs back to anyone official in Moscow. You might get as far as a wealthy Russian businessman with ties to the region if enough of the hired guns are captured alive and decide to squeal. It might even be a pretty obvious path of breadcrumbs if Putin decides to really use the old Machiavellian playbook and let him take the fall.

I think they are probably sacrificial pawns in a larger game and Putin could care less if they get slaughtered. They are a threat that the Ukraine can probably handle but it will fan the separatist fires and keep them occupied throughout the entire country for a long time. Meanwhile the Crimean peninsula slips away.
Title: Re: Things just got real in Ukraine
Post by: Kat S. on April 19, 2014, 09:57:24 pm
Putin is now decrying Ukraine's use of military force against the sepratists (http://www.businessinsider.com/r-putin-says-kievs-use-of-army-against-separatists-a-grave-crime-2014-17) since Putin is such a champion for human rights and dignity.

Um, yeah, Putin, whatever you say.  Oh, now you notice that Ukraine's economy is in the toilet?  Well, gee there, Putin.  How ever a thoughtful and concerned president you are!
Title: Re: Things just got real in Ukraine
Post by: Ultimate Paragon on April 19, 2014, 10:01:35 pm
Putin is now decrying Ukraine's use of military force against the sepratists (http://www.businessinsider.com/r-putin-says-kievs-use-of-army-against-separatists-a-grave-crime-2014-17) since Putin is such a champion for human rights and dignity.

Um, yeah, Putin, whatever you say.  Oh, now you notice that Ukraine's economy is in the toilet?  Well, gee there, Putin.  How ever a thoughtful and concerned president you are!
Stop with the crocodile tears, Putin.  You're not fooling anyone.
Title: Re: Things just got real in Ukraine
Post by: lord gibbon on April 20, 2014, 01:34:26 am
Sometimes it seems like Putin is outright TRYING to be cartoonishly evil.
Title: Re: Things just got real in Ukraine
Post by: Kat S. on April 21, 2014, 07:02:24 pm
Ukrainian intelligence is reporting that there are Russian Soldiers in Ukraine that were in Crimea.  Although western media cannot verify it, (http://www.cnn.com/2014/04/21/world/europe/ukraine-crisis/) maybe the Russian soldiers should try to change up their appearance a bit.

Biden is visiting Ukraine promising financial aid, but I'm sure what Ukraine wants is for the U.S. and the rest of the West to physically stop Putin.
Title: Re: Things just got real in Ukraine
Post by: Askold on April 22, 2014, 12:08:40 am
http://www.suomensotilas.fi/en/artikkelit/easter-bunnies-are-hobbyist-and-reservists

So far no solid proof of Russian troops in Ukraine. (A guy wearing a tag that says special forces is hardly proof. I used to have a tag that said commando and probably at least half the airsoft hobbyist have some special forces uniform and markings for their game. That still doesn't mean that the obese 16 year old is a SEAL/Royal-marine/ranger/speznaz-hybrid.)
Title: Re: Things just got real in Ukraine
Post by: Kat S. on April 24, 2014, 12:11:53 am
Here is another update from Elena. (http://www.angelfire.com/extreme4/kiddofspeed/maydan/updateapril24.html)

Some more insight from her plus she has a new name for the Russian president: Putler.

An accurate portmanteau or invoking Godwin?

In other news in Ukraine, Vice News reporter Simon Ostrovosky is being held captive by pro-Russian sepratists (http://nypost.com/2014/04/23/american-journalist-for-vice-held-captive-in-ukraine/).
Title: Re: Things just got real in Ukraine
Post by: Askold on April 25, 2014, 11:49:09 pm
Ok, if my kids weren't sleeping at the moment I would be laughing very hard.

a)
http://www.theguardian.com/world/2014/apr/25/vyacheslav-ponomarev-slavyansk-mayor-ukraine
Random guy takes over a city and claims to be the "people's mayor" on the basis that he was an officer in the Soviet army and now owns a factory...

b)
The eastern Ukraine area is actually not in Russian control either. While ago they declared themselves to be the "Donetsk republic."
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Donetsk_People%27s_Republic (Ohh, they have their own Wikipedia page now!) Funnily enough now it seems like the separatists that took over might not even want to join Russia... And there are theories that Russia tried to handle the east Ukraine area without sending their troops in to make it seem more "legal and proper" than the Crimean invasion and had hoped that the region joins them "willingly." But that is not certain anymore.

And because Johan Bäckmann must make a farce out of everything he does... He has declared to be making an embassy for Donetsk Republic in Helsinki and is ORDERING the Finnish media to stop calling the Kiev goverment and their members anything other than "Kiev Junta" and that the Ukrainian embassy must either be shut down or their workers must willingly join the Donetsk Republic. He also said that the Kiev goverment cannot hold legal elections in Ukraine because the Donetsk Republic (Which is not part of Ukraine! ) is boycotting their elections.

c) Putin is moping.
http://www.thedailybeast.com/articles/2014/04/25/exclusive-putin-halts-all-talks-with-white-house.html
Title: Re: Things just got real in Ukraine
Post by: chitoryu12 on April 26, 2014, 12:06:01 am
Ok, if my kids weren't sleeping at the moment I would be laughing very hard.

a)
http://www.theguardian.com/world/2014/apr/25/vyacheslav-ponomarev-slavyansk-mayor-ukraine
Random guy takes over a city and claims to be the "people's mayor" on the basis that he was an officer in the Soviet army and now owns a factory...

He captured Simon? Poor bastard. I was watching his updates on the Vice Youtube channel. One of the first things to happen to him was getting assaulted by anti-Russian civilians who thought that his Russian press badge was illegitimate.
Title: Re: Things just got real in Ukraine
Post by: Kat S. on May 02, 2014, 10:23:37 pm
More fighting has spread to Odessa. (http://www.cnn.com/2014/05/02/world/europe/ukraine-crisis/)

Obama and Merkel want to impose more sanctions on Russia on specific parts of their economy.

Meanwhile, McCain wants to arm Ukraine (http://www.kyivpost.com/content/ukraine-abroad/mccain-says-us-should-arm-ukraine-impose-tough-sanctions-on-russia-345012.html) along with the added sanctions.
Title: Re: Things just got real in Ukraine
Post by: mellenORL on May 03, 2014, 11:24:27 am
I'm hoping both actions, additional sanctions, and arming Ukraine, come to fruition. The Russian economy is already in near complete shambles because of years and years of corruption. What we all saw and read about happening in re the Winter Olympics is just a small taste of the shit Putin and his bastard gangster buddies pull off all the time. There are third world nations with better government bond and financial securities ratings. Russia's rating is about to be downgraded to junk bond level, which is unprecedented for a developed first world nation. I honestly think Putin wants the free economy of Russia to fail so he can reinstate some form of dictated economy as existed under state communism, which was also totally corrupt, and allowed people in positions of great authority, like the head of the KGB, to live in decadent luxury and prance around stomping on and fucking over the people to their sociopathic heart's content.
Title: Re: Things just got real in Ukraine
Post by: chitoryu12 on May 03, 2014, 02:07:48 pm
I'm hoping both actions, additional sanctions, and arming Ukraine, come to fruition. The Russian economy is already in near complete shambles because of years and years of corruption. What we all saw and read about happening in re the Winter Olympics is just a small taste of the shit Putin and his bastard gangster buddies pull off all the time. There are third world nations with better government bond and financial securities ratings. Russia's rating is about to be downgraded to junk bond level, which is unprecedented for a developed first world nation. I honestly think Putin wants the free economy of Russia to fail so he can reinstate some form of dictated economy as existed under state communism, which was also totally corrupt, and allowed people in positions of great authority, like the head of the KGB, to live in decadent luxury and prance around stomping on and fucking over the people to their sociopathic heart's content.

Which, ironically, would do nothing but ensure the eventual downfall of his power play: either the populace has enough and rebels against the attempted dictatorship, or Putin dies in power and the country starts gradually coming around after he's gone.
Title: Re: Things just got real in Ukraine
Post by: Cerim Treascair on May 03, 2014, 07:12:27 pm
Considering we've been hearing that even the Russian civvies are thinking this is bullshit, that may not take terribly long...
Title: Re: Things just got real in Ukraine
Post by: Askold on May 06, 2014, 04:13:25 am
Russia "accidentally" posted the actual results from the Crimean vote to join Russia.

I say "accidentally" because the information comes from the “President of Russia’s Council on Civil Society and Human Rights” which was supposed to prove that the elections were fair. They quickly removed the post from their website as they apparently were told that telling the truth is not part of their mission statement.

Quote
Official Kremlin results: 97% for annexation, turnout 83 percent, and percent of Crimeans voting in favor 82%.

President’s Human Rights Council results: 50% for annexation, turnout 30%, percent of Crimeans voting in favor 15%.

http://www.forbes.com/sites/paulroderickgregory/2014/05/05/putins-human-rights-council-accidentally-posts-real-crimean-election-results-only-15-voted-for-annexation/
Title: Re: Things just got real in Ukraine
Post by: mellenORL on May 06, 2014, 07:42:05 am
Putin can't swat those pesky flies off of his shit stink fast enough.
Title: Re: Things just got real in Ukraine
Post by: Askold on May 06, 2014, 08:06:00 am
...Hmm Reddit has people claiming that the article I linked is bullshit and that the writer just makes anti-Russian propaganda.
http://www.reddit.com/r/UkrainianConflict/comments/24to2g/putins_human_rights_council_accidentally_posts/
Reddit has a link to Russian page which is apparently the real post referenced in the article (wether or not it had been edited is unclear. Someone who knows Russian and wayback machine or something might be able to help with that.)
Title: Re: Things just got real in Ukraine
Post by: mellenORL on May 06, 2014, 08:39:12 am
...Hmm Reddit has people claiming that the article I linked is bullshit and that the writer just makes anti-Russian propaganda.
http://www.reddit.com/r/UkrainianConflict/comments/24to2g/putins_human_rights_council_accidentally_posts/
Reddit has a link to Russian page which is apparently the real post referenced in the article (wether or not it had been edited is unclear. Someone who knows Russian and wayback machine or something might be able to help with that.)

That would be a job for Snopes, or for a legit news agency to vet. But we here at FQA are way ahead of the curve; Hofstader's Tortoise is probably more than fluent enough with written Russian to translate for us, nu?
Title: Re: Things just got real in Ukraine
Post by: Søren on May 06, 2014, 06:57:26 pm
Sure, ill do that soon today.

Edit. Its already translated, why do you need me
Title: Re: Things just got real in Ukraine
Post by: Kat S. on May 06, 2014, 07:30:46 pm
Meanwhile in mainland Ukraine, Russia doesn't like the presidential election to happen later this month (http://www.cnn.com/2014/05/06/world/europe/ukraine-crisis/) because of Ukraine "being militant" against "its people", Afghanistan, and blah, blah, blah, but is totally cool with the separatists trying to secede from Ukraine.

I really hope and pray that someone in Ukraine can come forward because I don't see the international community really doing anything until Russia performs a full-blown invasion.  Russia is smart enough not to make that mistake, but they are interested in making a "New Russia" out of southern Ukraine.
Title: Re: Things just got real in Ukraine
Post by: RavynousHunter on May 06, 2014, 08:03:03 pm
Poor Lenin is facepalming in his grave.  The nation he tried to free has ended up being just as imperialistic as the enemies he despised.
Title: Re: Things just got real in Ukraine
Post by: Kat S. on May 12, 2014, 09:06:20 pm
Elena hasn't made an update since May 5.

Meanwhile, Donestsk had an "election" and surprise, 90% want to secede Ukraine and join Russia (http://www.cnn.com/2014/05/12/world/europe/ukraine-crisis/).

However, interestingly, Russia isn't moving to annex the territory (http://www.nytimes.com/2014/05/13/world/europe/ukraine.html?_r=0)...yet.

Title: Re: Things just got real in Ukraine
Post by: KZN02 on May 15, 2014, 12:06:20 am
Looks like the issue goes beyond the Earth itself (http://www.theguardian.com/world/2014/may/13/russia-international-space-station-doubt-ukraine-sanctions)
Title: Re: Things just got real in Ukraine
Post by: Askold on May 15, 2014, 08:32:25 am
Looks like the issue goes beyond the Earth itself (http://www.theguardian.com/world/2014/may/13/russia-international-space-station-doubt-ukraine-sanctions)

Ooh, I forgot to link that here as well. (It was at the science section but does have a place here as well.)

Yeah, this conflict is spreading. Outside of Ukraine things are still just speech and sanctions and such but this is growing slowly and won't stop until shots are fired or someone backs down.

...

Putin does not want to back down since he would lose his face and support of his people. (Well, to more of them since not every Russian has liked this.)

On the other hand, the rest of the world can't back down either since that would be seen as an approval (or at least as proof of that there is no courage to stand against tyrants) these conquests and other villainous countries might start up trouble.


EDIT:

The rebels at Donetsk have lost a few battles. It might have something to do with this:

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ftTs-rNL_18
The Ukrainian military has started to use their airforce against the rebles and as the rebels have no (or at least no very little) anti-air weapons they have no means to resist.

Oh wait, there actually are man portable anti-air missiles in Donetsk: http://www.scmp.com/news/world/article/1517334/ukraine-holds-russian-journalists-carrying-anti-aircraft-missiles

"Journalists."

If it was USA I might actually believe that they are just some common citizens who are practising their second amendment rights...
Title: Re: Things just got real in Ukraine
Post by: Kat S. on May 28, 2014, 03:36:11 pm
I guess Petro Poroshenko wants to make nice with Russia, but is telling its fighters to get the hell out of Ukraine.  Reports from different western media outlets are saying that the Ukrainian military and journalists are coming in contact with fighters that actually come from Russia.  One report states meeting Chechen fighters that support and fight for the separatist movement in Ukraine.



EDIT: From looking at the "We the People" petition site from another thread it appears that a successful petition was made in asking the United States to give Ukrainian citizens a 90 day stay with only a passport and no visa (https://petitions.whitehouse.gov/petition/allow-ukrainian-citizens-90-day-entrance-usa-passport-without-visa/m0BDgkb5).  However, the problem with that is according to Elena Filatova, it's extremely difficult if not virtually impossible to get a passport, and I don't see the Immigration and Naturalization Services (INS) green lighting this.  Hell, the White House still hasn't gave a response to the successful petition of pardoning Edward Snowden.
Title: Re: Things just got real in Ukraine
Post by: Askold on August 12, 2014, 10:24:22 am
I am bringing back this topic because I think the latest developments are quite alarming.

USA had earlier warned Russia not to use humanitarian aid as an excuse to invade Ukraine. And in related news, yesterday Russian news said that Russia and Ukraine had agreed to let a Russian Red cross convoy bring help to the sieged civilians in the Donetsk region.

...Except that most of that  story was apparently bullshit.

http://www.nbcnews.com/storyline/ukraine-crisis/wary-ukraine-tells-russia-red-cross-must-supervise-any-aid-n178306

The story has been updated several times as at first Red cross said that they had no knowledge of the convoy and it wasn't their and Ukrainian officials said they had not given permission for the convoy and said they will not allow it to enter Ukraine... But now they are allowing the materials to be brought to Ukraine as long as the Russians will unload them on the border and let neutral Red Cross personnel transport the materials.

There are several theories about what is going on:

a) Russia would have used the convoy as an excuse to bring military into Ukraine (either by simply masking military units as red cross trucks or by making a false flag attack against the convoy and using that as a justification for invading Ukraine.)

b) Russia is playing PR. By having Ukraine refuse humanitarian help, Ukraine looks like the villain.

And of course another point of view
c) Ukraine is doing an ethnic cleansing by starving the sieged separatists and that is why they won't allow help to arrive. (I saw this rant on Facebook and it had about 4  pages of stuff accusing USA, Obama, NATO and Joe Biden's son for these atrocities. )
Title: Re: Things just got real in Ukraine
Post by: starseeker on August 12, 2014, 04:27:26 pm
Russia has been known to send in 'humanitarian aid' to Russian citizens in neighbouring countries...usually with tanks. Hence why Ukraine, and several other countries don't trust Russia in the slightest over this.
Title: Re: Things just got real in Ukraine
Post by: Ultimate Paragon on August 12, 2014, 05:28:48 pm
Russia has been known to send in 'humanitarian aid' to Russian citizens in neighbouring countries...usually with tanks. Hence why Ukraine, and several other countries don't trust Russia in the slightest over this.
Is that a war crime?
Title: Re: Things just got real in Ukraine
Post by: Askold on August 12, 2014, 11:45:03 pm
Russia has been known to send in 'humanitarian aid' to Russian citizens in neighbouring countries...usually with tanks. Hence why Ukraine, and several other countries don't trust Russia in the slightest over this.
Is that a war crime?

Speaking of war crimes: http://www.examiner.com/list/russia-s-top-60-lies-about-ukraine (That one has 41-60 and links to the other articles.)

A long list of war crimes and atrocities Russia is claiming Ukraine has committed. A suprisingly high number of them are actually pictures of Russian war crimes...


Like this picture of a mass grave:
(click to show/hide)

Some are just silly like this one:

(http://cdn2-b.examiner.com/sites/default/files/styles/image_content_width/hash/ca/64/ca64dd3e84e1c45125f8b2309d6a1204.jpg?itok=Fc_AuE2H)

I can't find it on this list but Russian news also photoshopped the Ukrainian president onto a French Gay Pride parade. I'm not saying that there wouldn't be people that hate anyone who is pro-gay but I think they are such a minority that this particular bit of propaganda would have been likely to fail even if it hadn't been a crude photoshop.
Title: Re: Things just got real in Ukraine
Post by: Igor on August 13, 2014, 10:04:07 am
I can't find it on this list but Russian news also photoshopped the Ukrainian president onto a French Gay Pride parade. I'm not saying that there wouldn't be people that hate anyone who is pro-gay but I think they are such a minority that this particular bit of propaganda would have been likely to fail even if it hadn't been a crude photoshop.
I don't know how to cite this because it's something I heard on the radio some time ago, but I heard that Putin's anti-LGBT crusade and this thing in Ukraine are inextricably linked, as in Russian propaganda is, and has been from the beginning, blaming gays, westerners, and gay westerners for Ukraine's supposed moral degradation, which the Brave Russians are Seeking to Restore or some such nonsense. It was something along those lines, anyway. According to the interview I heard, that's one aspect of all this that the western media has been completely ignoring. I'll edit this if I can find a link to the interview.
Title: Re: Things just got real in Ukraine
Post by: Random Gal on August 13, 2014, 11:10:22 am
A lot of the above is also about pandering to the Russian Orthodox Church, which has gained a lot of influence since the fall of the USSR. Putin doesn't want the Church as his enemy, so he makes "moral degradation" an issue to keep them from opposing him. Not that different from Bush and the religious right last decade, really.
Title: Re: Things just got real in Ukraine
Post by: chitoryu12 on August 13, 2014, 11:12:16 am
A lot of the above is also about pandering to the Russian Orthodox Church, which has gained a lot of influence since the fall of the USSR. Putin doesn't want the Church as his enemy, so he makes "moral degradation" an issue to keep them from opposing him. Not that different from Bush and the religious right last decade, really.

Yeah, but we have yet to use "They're all homos anyway" as an excuse to stay in Afghanistan.
Title: Re: Things just got real in Ukraine
Post by: Random Gal on August 13, 2014, 11:26:47 am
A lot of the above is also about pandering to the Russian Orthodox Church, which has gained a lot of influence since the fall of the USSR. Putin doesn't want the Church as his enemy, so he makes "moral degradation" an issue to keep them from opposing him. Not that different from Bush and the religious right last decade, really.

Yeah, but we have yet to use "They're all homos anyway" as an excuse to stay in Afghanistan.

Replace "homos" with "Muslims," though...
Title: Re: Things just got real in Ukraine
Post by: Eiki-mun on August 13, 2014, 11:28:59 am
They're all brown people anyway. They need democracy brought at the point of a sword!
Title: Re: Things just got real in Ukraine
Post by: ironbite on August 13, 2014, 12:27:54 pm
Nobody uses swords anymore.

Ironbite-which is a shame.
Title: Re: Things just got real in Ukraine
Post by: starseeker on August 13, 2014, 07:44:11 pm
Nobody uses swords anymore.

Ironbite-which is a shame.

We put bayonets on our guns does that count. I think the British Army did actually bayonet charge some insurgents in Iraq.
Title: Re: Things just got real in Ukraine
Post by: Canadian Mojo on August 13, 2014, 11:58:33 pm
Nobody uses swords anymore.

Ironbite-which is a shame.

We put bayonets on our guns does that count. I think the British Army did actually bayonet charge some insurgents in Iraq.
Yup. (http://www.badassoftheweek.com/index.cgi?id=905475926435)
Title: Re: Things just got real in Ukraine
Post by: I am lizard on August 14, 2014, 12:35:22 am
My problem with the invasion was less why and more how.
I mean, we went in there with no plan for maintaining the region, not nearly enough troops to maintain order, no way to deal with looting besides violence, and most importantly: no understanding of the culture or people.

Not saying we should or shouldn't have invaded, just saying it was horribly executed.
Title: Re: Things just got real in Ukraine
Post by: Ironchew on August 14, 2014, 01:02:41 am
My problem with the invasion was less why and more how.
I mean, we went in there with no plan for maintaining the region, not nearly enough troops to maintain order, no way to deal with looting besides violence, and most importantly: no understanding of the culture or people.

Not saying we should or shouldn't have invaded, just saying it was horribly executed.

That's what an invasion is all about, though. If you find yourself wondering how an invasion could take into account a population's needs, ask yourself if you would want the place you live to be invaded by a foreign power. Chances are you never would want that, and you would fight to repel the occupying force.
Title: Re: Things just got real in Ukraine
Post by: I am lizard on August 14, 2014, 01:46:15 pm
My problem with the invasion was less why and more how.
I mean, we went in there with no plan for maintaining the region, not nearly enough troops to maintain order, no way to deal with looting besides violence, and most importantly: no understanding of the culture or people.

Not saying we should or shouldn't have invaded, just saying it was horribly executed.

That's what an invasion is all about, though. If you find yourself wondering how an invasion could take into account a population's needs, ask yourself if you would want the place you live to be invaded by a foreign power. Chances are you never would want that, and you would fight to repel the occupying force.
I don't think most Iraqis were willing to fight against the initial invasion as they're so use to having their government overthrown through violent military force they've grown use to it, granted, I doubt this means they were happy at all about the invasion.

We did end up making quiet a few enemies by shutting down important parts of they're government, plus we gave said enemies tons of state-of-the-art weapons, as well as took away the countries means of stabilizing itself, leaving them at the mercy of aggressive terrorist.

That's not even scratching the Sadam-like policies of violence we would implement.
 
Title: Re: Things just got real in Ukraine
Post by: Askold on August 15, 2014, 02:36:32 am
http://www.theguardian.com/world/2014/aug/14/russian-military-vehicles-enter-ukraine-aid-convoy-stops-short-border

The "humanitarian aid" convoy stopped on the Russian side of the border while Russian APCs and military trucks continued to Ukraine.
Title: Re: Things just got real in Ukraine
Post by: Askold on August 15, 2014, 12:41:07 pm
SHOTS FIRED!

http://www.cnbc.com/id/101906428#.
http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2014-08-15/ukraine-says-it-destroyed-part-of-armed-vehicles-from-russia.html

This is a scary development wether or not this is true.

I can't blame the Ukrainians firing at Russian troops when they specifically told them not to cross the border and to let Red Cross handle the transportation AND it could be a false flag attack (although those reports at least claim that Ukrainian officials made these claims) but in either case Russia might use it as a justification for escalating this conflict.

And by escalating I mean an all out attack.
Title: Re: Things just got real in Ukraine
Post by: Lt. Fred on August 17, 2014, 10:35:12 pm
My problem with the invasion was less why and more how.
I mean, we went in there with no plan for maintaining the region, not nearly enough troops to maintain order, no way to deal with looting besides violence, and most importantly: no understanding of the culture or people.

Not saying we should or shouldn't have invaded, just saying it was horribly executed.

Also, too, corrupt as anything.

Obviously, the intention was as broken as the execution. Why should it be up to the West how to maintain the Middle East?
Title: Re: Things just got real in Ukraine
Post by: RavynousHunter on August 18, 2014, 09:15:13 am
My problem with the invasion was less why and more how.
I mean, we went in there with no plan for maintaining the region, not nearly enough troops to maintain order, no way to deal with looting besides violence, and most importantly: no understanding of the culture or people.

Not saying we should or shouldn't have invaded, just saying it was horribly executed.

Also, too, corrupt as anything.

Obviously, the intention was as broken as the execution. Why should it be up to the West how to maintain the Middle East?

Becuase America is the World's Policeman!
Title: Re: Things just got real in Ukraine
Post by: Canadian Mojo on August 18, 2014, 09:31:50 am
My problem with the invasion was less why and more how.
I mean, we went in there with no plan for maintaining the region, not nearly enough troops to maintain order, no way to deal with looting besides violence, and most importantly: no understanding of the culture or people.

Not saying we should or shouldn't have invaded, just saying it was horribly executed.

Also, too, corrupt as anything.

Obviously, the intention was as broken as the execution. Why should it be up to the West how to maintain the Middle East?

Because they have our oil.

Anything else is just window dressing.
Title: Re: Things just got real in Ukraine
Post by: Kat S. on August 28, 2014, 02:50:39 am
Another update on the crisis, Ukrainian and U.S. officials state that Russia has opened more fronts for fighters from Russia to enter Ukraine. (http://finance.yahoo.com/news/ukrainian-sargent-now-war-russia-184509355.html)

At this point Ukraine has accepted that they are at war with Russia.  The Ukrainian military has reported that Russian soldiers are entering their country, and Russia is now admitting that the Ukrainian Army has ten of its soldiers (http://www.theguardian.com/world/2014/aug/26/russia-admits-soldiers-in-ukraine).  However, Russia is claiming that it was all just a big mistake.  Supposedly the soldiers were patrolling on the Russia-Ukraine border, and apparently somehow they border patrolled many kilometers inside Ukraine.  Oops.

In other news, Canada's delegation to NATO has decided to help educate any other Russian delegate or soldier who doesn't understand the Ukraine-Russia boundary with this map on their Twitter page (https://twitter.com/CanadaNATO?original_referer=http%3A%2F%2Fnews.nationalpost.com%2F2014%2F08%2F27%2Fcanadas-delegation-to-nato-mocks-russia-with-snarky-tweet-over-ukrainian-incursion%2F&tw_i=504651534198927361&tw_p=tweetembed).
Title: Re: Things just got real in Ukraine
Post by: Askold on August 28, 2014, 04:45:19 am
There have been mysterious funerals at Russia for soldiers and a grieving mother (or was it a widow? I can't find a story about it now) announced on Facebook that her son died fighting in Ukraine but then she deleted the post and claimed that he is alive and well.

Meanwhile Finland signed a treaty with NATO allowing them to place troops into Finland and transport them through Finland. The last time such a deal was made was when Nazi troops were allowed to "move their troops in Norway to and from vacations through Finland" which was the cover up for allowing them to attack Soviet union from Finnish regions. Also, the deal we made with USSR right after WW2 was specifically against things like this.

Unsuprisingly the leftist parties in Finland are rather incensed about this treaty.

EDIT: And for the third time within the last seven days Russian aircraft has entered Finnish airspace. Soon, I am going to have to put my wife and kids in a car and send them to grandparents and take taxi to the nearest military base...
Title: Re: Things just got real in Ukraine
Post by: I am lizard on August 28, 2014, 09:14:29 am
Thankfully Finland should have less to worry about.
Title: Re: Things just got real in Ukraine
Post by: SCarpelan on August 28, 2014, 02:54:44 pm
The Russian planes visiting the Finnish airspace don't represent an acute threat - this happens pretty often and probably at least sometimes by an honest accident due to the narrowness of the international airspace between Finland and Estonia. This time it's obvious these incursions are intentional but I don't see them as a direct threat yet. They are probably just an expression of annoyance about Finland arranging a common war training with NATO in Turku and an attempt at getting Finland reconsider the co-operation with NATO. We have a stable political system and satisfied Russian minority unlike in Ukraine so Putin would have to do serious setting up propagandawise before presenting any serious threat. Yes, there has occasionally been some distorted information in the Russian media during the last few years in Russian media but nothing nearly serious enough.

Regarding the actual co-operation: I'm seriously annoyed at the way the politicians are dealing with the situation. It's obvious that there is an intent by the right-wing parties to slowly inch closer to NATO without actually having an open public discussion about the issue - it never seems the right time to have the discussion according to them. Having Russia react threateningly only serves to scare people into supporting the NATO option more. The NATO membership wouldn't be a huge issue for me if it and possible other options were discussed more honestly beforehand. (What other options? For example a defense union with Sweden which accordingly to the researcher Charly Salonius-Pasternak would give both countries an affordable and credible defense.)
Title: Re: Things just got real in Ukraine
Post by: Ultimate Paragon on September 01, 2014, 10:58:16 pm
And while we're on the subject of NATO getting serious:

http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2014/09/01/nato-ukraine_n_5749262.html (http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2014/09/01/nato-ukraine_n_5749262.html)
Title: Re: Things just got real in Ukraine
Post by: ironbite on September 02, 2014, 01:44:48 am
Putin has nothing to fear from the US putting boots on the ground to get him out of the Ukraine.  He does have everything to fear from NATO deciding to put boots on the ground to get him out of the Ukraine.

Ironbite-he's either gonna start WWIII or be shot in the head by someone with some sanity.
Title: Re: Things just got real in Ukraine
Post by: Lt. Fred on September 02, 2014, 01:57:11 am
Nine tenths of NATO firepower is American, of course. So, yes, Putin does have to fear US involvement.
Title: Re: Things just got real in Ukraine
Post by: Ultimate Paragon on September 03, 2014, 07:45:41 am
Putin has nothing to fear from the US putting boots on the ground to get him out of the Ukraine.  He does have everything to fear from NATO deciding to put boots on the ground to get him out of the Ukraine.

Ironbite-he's either gonna start WWIII or be shot in the head by someone with some sanity.
Hopefully the latter.
Title: Re: Things just got real in Ukraine
Post by: Askold on September 06, 2014, 03:47:34 pm
RUSSIA! What are you doing?!!?

Well for starters:

a) They kidnapped an Estonian police officer from the Estonian side of the border and claim that he was at Russia spying on them.

This happened just few days after Obama visited Estonia and promised that USA and NATO have their back.
http://news.postimees.ee/2911015/estonian-security-police-officer-kidnapped-taken-to-russia-at-gunpoint

b) They are burying several Russian soldiers at different locations (Finnish article mentioned funerals at a Russian base near the arctic sea.) Supposedly these have nothing to do with the happening in Ukraine, but there are suspicions and claims that bodies all over Russia to cover up their losses in Ukraine.

http://rbth.com/international/2014/08/30/rumors_swirl_over_mysterious_funerals_for_russian_paratroopers__39415.html

c) This is related to the previous but some of the Russian soldiers are being held prisoners of war in Ukraine.
http://news.yahoo.com/army-wives-urge-russia-come-clean-soldiers-ukraine-185525694.html

EDIT: USA What have YOU been doing?!

http://scgnews.com/leaked-documents-ukraines-new-president-works-for-the-us-state-department

I am going to read more about this but it appears that the current Ukrainian president is, or at least was working for USA...

Aaand the wikileak in question: https://wikileaks.org/plusd/cables/06KIEV1706_a.html#efmAZUAZ-

....And after reading the wikileaks and seeing some other opinions on it it seems that they were misinterpreted. It says:
Quote
During an April 28 meeting with Ambassador, Our Ukraine (OU) insider Petro Poroshenko

And "Our Ukrain" is the name of the party. So they are not saying that Poroshenko is their insider they are saying that Poroshenko is an insider in OU...

That was embarrassing...