Author Topic: The lead-up to the 2018 midterms begins  (Read 3859 times)

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Offline niam2023

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Re: The lead-up to the 2018 midterms begins
« Reply #90 on: July 02, 2018, 09:19:12 pm »
I think John Oliver was kind of critical of Obrador given his coalition included some far right parties.
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Offline dpareja

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Re: The lead-up to the 2018 midterms begins
« Reply #91 on: July 02, 2018, 09:23:40 pm »
I think John Oliver was kind of critical of Obrador given his coalition included some far right parties.

Yeah, that's problematic. (I think his coalition was his own party, the Labor Party, and a far-right party.) We'll have to see how he governs.
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Offline dpareja

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Re: The lead-up to the 2018 midterms begins
« Reply #92 on: July 10, 2018, 04:13:54 am »
Meanwhile, there's two Senate special elections on November 6, Minnesota and Mississippi:

http://www.thegreenpapers.com/G18/MN
http://www.thegreenpapers.com/G18/MS

Might there be a chance of picking off one of Mississippi's two? (I think Mississippi is only R+9, so with enough of a wave it's not too unbelievable.)
Quote from: Jordan Duram
It doesn't concern you, Sister, that kind of absolutist view of the universe? Right and wrong determined solely by a single all-knowing, all powerful being whose judgment cannot be questioned and in whose name the most horrendous acts can be sanctioned without appeal?

Quote from: Supreme Court of Canada
Being required by someone else’s religious beliefs to behave contrary to one’s sexual identity is degrading and disrespectful.

Offline Kanzenkankaku

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Re: The lead-up to the 2018 midterms begins
« Reply #93 on: July 10, 2018, 05:58:48 am »
Miss is within the realm of possibility. Minn is more likely to go blue overall. But we can hope for the best that both swing that way.

Offline dpareja

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Re: The lead-up to the 2018 midterms begins
« Reply #94 on: July 10, 2018, 12:04:24 pm »
Miss is within the realm of possibility. Minn is more likely to go blue overall. But we can hope for the best that both swing that way.

In Minnesota, Klobuchar is very likely to be reelected; Smith is considered the more vulnerable.

Mississippi's interesting, though: for the special election, party affiliation isn't listed (in the jungle primary or the runoff), which could make the election more about the policies than the parties. I don't think both can be taken, but the Dems could well knock off Hyde-Smith because of that.
Quote from: Jordan Duram
It doesn't concern you, Sister, that kind of absolutist view of the universe? Right and wrong determined solely by a single all-knowing, all powerful being whose judgment cannot be questioned and in whose name the most horrendous acts can be sanctioned without appeal?

Quote from: Supreme Court of Canada
Being required by someone else’s religious beliefs to behave contrary to one’s sexual identity is degrading and disrespectful.

Offline The_Queen

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Re: The lead-up to the 2018 midterms begins
« Reply #95 on: July 10, 2018, 08:30:33 pm »
In what may be (yet another) harbinger for world politics, a populist left candidate just won the Presidential election in Mexico... by a landslide.

In a four-way race, Andrés Manuel López Obrador has, with a little over 75% of the votes counted, roughly 53% of all votes cast. The President of Mexico is elected by a simple popular plurality, however the last time a Presidential candidate received more than 50% of the vote was in 1988, with Carlos Salinas de Gortari receiving 50.7% in one of the last elections during the PRI's iron grip on power (1994 would see the PRI candidate drop below 50%; 2000 had PAN's Vicente Fox win with ~43% of the vote).

Apparently, the other candidates called to concede to Obrador within an hour of the polls closing, a record for contested Presidential elections in Mexico.

He's being called the Mexican Donald Trump. He's pretty blase about any real policy.

Edit to Clarify: He got the far-right and labour parties on board by telling both sides what they wanted to hear. Kind like who Donald Trump said that he would appoint justices to overturn the disastrous same-sex marriage decision when in republican circles and then fashion himself a defender of LGBTQ rights when it would resonate better with the audience. He's a wild-card at best, but will probably wind up falling to the left based on MRN's success. But, if another coalition looks more attractive, watch out.
« Last Edit: July 10, 2018, 08:52:31 pm by The_Queen »
Does anyone take Donald Trump seriously, anymore?

Offline dpareja

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Re: The lead-up to the 2018 midterms begins
« Reply #96 on: July 10, 2018, 08:49:08 pm »
In what may be (yet another) harbinger for world politics, a populist left candidate just won the Presidential election in Mexico... by a landslide.

In a four-way race, Andrés Manuel López Obrador has, with a little over 75% of the votes counted, roughly 53% of all votes cast. The President of Mexico is elected by a simple popular plurality, however the last time a Presidential candidate received more than 50% of the vote was in 1988, with Carlos Salinas de Gortari receiving 50.7% in one of the last elections during the PRI's iron grip on power (1994 would see the PRI candidate drop below 50%; 2000 had PAN's Vicente Fox win with ~43% of the vote).

Apparently, the other candidates called to concede to Obrador within an hour of the polls closing, a record for contested Presidential elections in Mexico.

He's being called the Mexican Donald Trump. He's pretty blase about any real policy.

Though, unlike Trump, he got an actual popular majority in a real four-way race.

But that aside, we'll have to wait and see--just like with any elected leaders.
Quote from: Jordan Duram
It doesn't concern you, Sister, that kind of absolutist view of the universe? Right and wrong determined solely by a single all-knowing, all powerful being whose judgment cannot be questioned and in whose name the most horrendous acts can be sanctioned without appeal?

Quote from: Supreme Court of Canada
Being required by someone else’s religious beliefs to behave contrary to one’s sexual identity is degrading and disrespectful.

Offline The_Queen

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Re: The lead-up to the 2018 midterms begins
« Reply #97 on: July 10, 2018, 08:53:28 pm »
In what may be (yet another) harbinger for world politics, a populist left candidate just won the Presidential election in Mexico... by a landslide.

In a four-way race, Andrés Manuel López Obrador has, with a little over 75% of the votes counted, roughly 53% of all votes cast. The President of Mexico is elected by a simple popular plurality, however the last time a Presidential candidate received more than 50% of the vote was in 1988, with Carlos Salinas de Gortari receiving 50.7% in one of the last elections during the PRI's iron grip on power (1994 would see the PRI candidate drop below 50%; 2000 had PAN's Vicente Fox win with ~43% of the vote).

Apparently, the other candidates called to concede to Obrador within an hour of the polls closing, a record for contested Presidential elections in Mexico.

He's being called the Mexican Donald Trump. He's pretty blase about any real policy.

Though, unlike Trump, he got an actual popular majority in a real four-way race.

But that aside, we'll have to wait and see--just like with any elected leaders.

Oh wow, some difference a majority vote fucking makes. I say "he's blase about policy positions" and you retort about vote share? Total non-sequitur.
Does anyone take Donald Trump seriously, anymore?

Offline dpareja

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Re: The lead-up to the 2018 midterms begins
« Reply #98 on: July 13, 2018, 12:36:15 pm »
https://www.cnn.com/2018/07/12/politics/ocasio-cortez-worries-joe-crowley-third-party-run/index.html

There is some fear that Joe Crowley may be trying to retain his seat in Congress after his Democratic primary loss to Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, because he's listed on the ballot on other lines.

To be clear: he has every right to do this and the blame lies with the other parties that endorsed him, and I'd be shocked if there was enough GOP support in that district that a vote split could see their candidate win.

It just has that feeling of scumminess that makes a lot of people hate the Democratic establishment.
Quote from: Jordan Duram
It doesn't concern you, Sister, that kind of absolutist view of the universe? Right and wrong determined solely by a single all-knowing, all powerful being whose judgment cannot be questioned and in whose name the most horrendous acts can be sanctioned without appeal?

Quote from: Supreme Court of Canada
Being required by someone else’s religious beliefs to behave contrary to one’s sexual identity is degrading and disrespectful.

Offline dpareja

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Re: The lead-up to the 2018 midterms begins
« Reply #99 on: July 27, 2018, 01:16:53 pm »
https://www.fireyourcongressman.com/SitePages/HomePage.aspx

If you hate a Congressperson, here's a PAC seeking to support challengers to Congressional incumbents.
Quote from: Jordan Duram
It doesn't concern you, Sister, that kind of absolutist view of the universe? Right and wrong determined solely by a single all-knowing, all powerful being whose judgment cannot be questioned and in whose name the most horrendous acts can be sanctioned without appeal?

Quote from: Supreme Court of Canada
Being required by someone else’s religious beliefs to behave contrary to one’s sexual identity is degrading and disrespectful.

Offline Id82

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Re: The lead-up to the 2018 midterms begins
« Reply #100 on: July 27, 2018, 06:24:54 pm »
Unfortunately due to the strong economy I have a feeling there isn't going to be a huge democratic congressional gain this fall compared to what people are predicting.
It's really sad that people will overlook all the bullshit if they perceive the economy is doing well which is something that Trump doesn't have a lot of control over anyways

Offline ironbite

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Re: The lead-up to the 2018 midterms begins
« Reply #101 on: July 27, 2018, 06:31:51 pm »
Heh...strong economy.

Ironbite-suuuuuuure it is.

Offline Id82

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Re: The lead-up to the 2018 midterms begins
« Reply #102 on: July 27, 2018, 07:12:25 pm »
The economy is doing really well right now and that will probably matter come November.

Offline ironbite

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Re: The lead-up to the 2018 midterms begins
« Reply #103 on: July 27, 2018, 08:38:23 pm »
Yeah I'm sure it will.\

And the Orange Piss Pot will have done something else to piss off the voter base and get them riled up or Mueller's report comes out.

Ironbite-other factors come in other then the economy right now.

Offline Id82

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Re: The lead-up to the 2018 midterms begins
« Reply #104 on: July 27, 2018, 08:42:54 pm »
His wanting to meet with Putin in the fall will clearly be a negative against him since a majority of Americans don't like his relationship he has with him. It's probably why they're trying to push Putin's visit until next year to ruin the backlash that will create.